2022 Pennsylvania Live Results

Overview

Sen. Pat Toomey (R) is retiring. This is a highly competitive race between GOP media personality Mehmet Oz and Lt. Gov. John Fetterman. After trailing most of the campaign, Oz has pulled even to slightly ahead in polling in the closing couple of weeks. It is unclear how much of that movement is due to voter perceptions of the October 25 debate between the two.

Gov. Tom Wolf (D) was ineligible to run due to term limits. State Attorney General Josh Shapiro is the Democratic nominee. Republicans nominated State Sen. Doug Mastriano, despite perceptions that he was less electable. That seems to have been borne out, as Shapiro has seen a double-digit lead in most polls. 

These elections will be conducted using redistricted boundaries. The state lost a district. You can use this feature to compare new and old district boundaries for any street address.

The most at-risk incumbents appear to be Democrats Susan Wild (PA-07) and Matt Cartwright (PA-08). PA-17 is also a potential GOP pick-up; incumbent Conor Lamb retired in an unsuccessful bid for U.S. Senate.

PA-12 has an interesting quirk: 14-term Democrat Mike Doyle is retiring. The Republican nominee for the seat this year is also named Mike Doyle. This should be a safe Democratic district, but it could be closer than expected due to some voter confusion.

Republicans hold a 28-21 edge over Democrats in the Pennsylvania State Senate. There is one independent. Members serve four-year staggered terms; the even-numbered Districts are on the ballot this year.

Republicans hold 113 of 203 seats in the Pennsylvania House of Representatives. There are 88 Democrats; two seats are vacant. Members serve two-year terms.

The CNalysis Model showed Republicans with a 69% probability of maintaining control, while Democrats had a 31% chance of winning the chamber.