2020 Texas Republican Primary

Date: March 3, 2020
Delegates: 155
Allocation: Threshold
Threshold: 20% (minimum vote to win delegates)
Notes: Some delegates allocated statewide and some by Congressional District. In each case, winner take all where a candidate exceeds 50%. Otherwise, statewide delegates (47) are proportionately allocated; the formula varies based on number of candidates receiving 20% or more. In each district not decided by winner take all, the allocation is based on the number of candidates receiving 20% or more of the vote.

Information is estimated and subject to change. Delegate allocation rules can be very complex; this overview may not capture some details. For those interested in the finer points, we suggest Greenpapers or FHQ.

Estimated Delegates Earned


Trump
117

38 delegates have not yet been allocated.

Polls

Source Date Sample Trump Weld Other
Poll Averages* 90.0% 5.0% -
NBC News/ Marist 3/01/2020 621 LV ±5.1% 94% 4% 2%
UT Tyler 2/29/2020 567 LV ±4.1% 86% 6% 8%
UT Tyler 2/02/2020 445 LV ±4.7% 88% 2% 10%
CNN / SSRS 12/11/2019 537 LV ±5% 86% 3% 11%
UT Tyler 11/18/2019 597 RV 78% 1% 21%
Emerson College 8/06/2019 482 RV 90% 10% 0%
Emerson College 4/29/2019 344 LV ±5.3% 87% 13% 0%

* The average includes the most recent poll from each source within the past 30 days, up to a maximum of five. If five polls are found, and there are other qualifying polls on that same calendar date, those will also be included.