Senate Election Race Ratings & Polls
Battle for Control of the Senate
Race Ratings: Track the competitiveness of each of the 34 Senate elections this November, based on the assessment of three professional pundits. Any rating changes within the last 30 days are noted, enabling you to see how a race is trending.
The Battle for Control section summarizes all these races by level of competitiveness, highlighting the number of competitive seats held by each party.
To create your own 2016 forecast, visit our Senate Election Interactive Map.
Polling: State names colored in green have available polling. Click/tap to view details. Alternately, go see all the most recent Senate polls.
Battle for Control
|
|
|
| Current Senate |
46 |
54 |
| 2016 Elections |
-10 |
-24 |
| Continuing Seats |
36 |
30 |
| Not Competitivea |
8 |
10 |
| 2017 Minimum |
44 |
40 |
| Not Very Competitiveb |
1 |
4 |
| Likely Minimum |
45 |
44 |
Competitive/At-Riskc
| 1 |
10 |
|
aAll pundits: Safe for incumbent party
bAll pundits: Safe or likely for incumbent party
cCurrent Senate less Likely Minimum. All pundits rate as lean or toss-up
|
Alabama |
| Sabato |
Roth. & Gonz. |
Cook |
|
|
|
| Safe |
Safe |
Solid |
|
|
|
|
|
Alaska |
| Sabato |
Roth. & Gonz. |
Cook |
|
|
|
| Safe |
Safe |
Likely |
|
|
|
|
|
Arizona |
| Sabato |
Roth. & Gonz. |
Cook |
|
|
|
| Likely |
Favored |
Lean |
|
|
|
|
|
Arkansas |
| Sabato |
Roth. & Gonz. |
Cook |
|
|
|
| Safe |
Safe |
Solid |
|
|
|
|
|
California |
| Sabato |
Roth. & Gonz. |
Cook |
|
|
|
| Safe |
Safe |
Solid |
|
|
|
|
|
Colorado |
| Sabato |
Roth. & Gonz. |
Cook |
|
|
|
| Safe |
Safe |
Likely |
|
|
|
|
|
Florida |
| Sabato |
Roth. & Gonz. |
Cook |
|
|
|
| Lean |
Lean |
Lean |
|
|
|
|
|
Georgia |
| Sabato |
Roth. & Gonz. |
Cook |
|
|
|
| Safe |
Safe |
Likely |
|
|
|
|
|
Hawaii |
| Sabato |
Roth. & Gonz. |
Cook |
|
|
|
| Safe |
Safe |
Solid |
|
|
|
|
|
Idaho |
| Sabato |
Roth. & Gonz. |
Cook |
|
|
|
| Safe |
Safe |
Solid |
|
|
|
|
|
Illinois |
| Sabato |
Roth. & Gonz. |
Cook |
|
|
|
| Likely |
Lean |
Lean |
|
|
|
|
|
Indiana |
| Sabato |
Roth. & Gonz. |
Cook |
|
|
|
| Lean |
Toss-Up |
Toss-Up |
|
|
|
|
|
Iowa |
| Sabato |
Roth. & Gonz. |
Cook |
|
|
|
| Safe |
Safe |
Likely |
|
|
|
|
|
Kansas |
| Sabato |
Roth. & Gonz. |
Cook |
|
|
|
| Safe |
Safe |
Solid |
|
|
|
|
|
Kentucky |
| Sabato |
Roth. & Gonz. |
Cook |
|
|
|
| Safe |
Safe |
Solid |
|
|
|
|
|
Louisiana |
| Sabato |
Roth. & Gonz. |
Cook |
|
|
|
| Likely |
Safe |
Solid |
|
|
|
|
|
Maryland |
| Sabato |
Roth. & Gonz. |
Cook |
|
|
|
| Safe |
Safe |
Solid |
|
|
|
|
|
Missouri |
| Sabato |
Roth. & Gonz. |
Cook |
|
|
|
| Lean |
Toss-Up |
Toss-Up |
|
|
|
|
|
Nevada |
| Sabato |
Roth. & Gonz. |
Cook |
|
|
|
| Lean |
Toss-Up |
Toss-Up |
|
|
|
|
|
New York |
| Sabato |
Roth. & Gonz. |
Cook |
|
|
|
| Safe |
Safe |
Solid |
|
|
|
|
|
North Dakota |
| Sabato |
Roth. & Gonz. |
Cook |
|
|
|
| Safe |
Safe |
Solid |
|
|
|
|
|
Ohio |
| Sabato |
Roth. & Gonz. |
Cook |
|
|
|
| Safe |
Favored |
Lean |
|
|
|
|
|
Oklahoma |
| Sabato |
Roth. & Gonz. |
Cook |
|
|
|
| Safe |
Safe |
Solid |
|
|
|
|
|
Oregon |
| Sabato |
Roth. & Gonz. |
Cook |
|
|
|
| Safe |
Safe |
Solid |
|
|
|
|
|
Utah |
| Sabato |
Roth. & Gonz. |
Cook |
|
|
|
| Safe |
Safe |
Solid |
|
|
|
|
|
Vermont |
| Sabato |
Roth. & Gonz. |
Cook |
|
|
|
| Safe |
Safe |
Solid |
|
|
|
|
|
Washington |
| Sabato |
Roth. & Gonz. |
Cook |
|
|
|
| Safe |
Safe |
Solid |
|
|
|
|
|
Wisconsin |
| Sabato |
Roth. & Gonz. |
Cook |
|
|
|
| Lean |
Tilt D |
Toss-Up |
|
|
|
|
