2016 South Carolina Republican Primary

Date:	February 20, 2016
Delegates:	50
Allocation:	Winner Take All (Split)
Notes:	Some delegates allocated statewide and some by Congressional District

Information is estimated and subject to change. Delegate allocation rules can be very complex; this overview may not capture some details. For those interested in the finer points, we suggest Greenpapers or FHQ.

Estimated Delegates Earned

Trump
50

Rubio
0

Cruz
0

Bush
0

Kasich
0

Carson
0

Delegate Counts: New York Times

Polls

Source		Date	Sample	Trump	Cruz	Kasich	Other
Poll Averages*				30.6%	18.4%	10.0%	-
	NBC News / WSJ / Marist	2/19/2016	722 LV ±3.6%	28%	23%	9%	40%
	Emerson College	2/19/2016	418 LV ±4.7%	36%	18%	10%	36%
	Palmetto Poll	2/19/2016	650 LV ±3%	28%	19%	9%	44%
	American Research Group	2/19/2016	401 LV ±5%	34%	13%	14%	39%
	Opinion Savvy	2/19/2016	780 LV ±3.5%	27%	19%	8%	46%
	Fox News	2/18/2016	759 LV ±3.5%	32%	19%	6%	43%
	Harper Polling	2/18/2016	599 LV ±4%	29%	17%	13%	41%
	American Research Group	2/18/2016	400 LV ±5%	33%	13%	15%	39%
	Monmouth University	2/17/2016	400 LV ±4.9%	35%	19%	9%	37%
	Bloomberg	2/17/2016	502 LV ±4.4%	36%	17%	7%	40%
	Emerson College	2/17/2016	375 LV ±5%	33%	20%	9%	38%
	CNN \| ORC	2/16/2016	404 LV ±5%	38%	22%	4%	36%
	American Research Group	2/16/2016	400 LV ±5%	33%	14%	14%	39%
	Gravis Marketing	2/15/2016	1,281 LV ±3%	37%	23%	6%	34%
	Public Policy	2/15/2016	897 LV ±3.3%	35%	18%	10%	37%
	YouGov / CBS	2/14/2016	744 LV ±5.7%	42%	20%	9%	29%
	American Research Group	2/13/2016	400 LV ±5%	35%	12%	15%	38%
	Opinion Savvy	2/12/2016	779 LV ±3.5%	36%	20%	9%	35%
	NBC News / WSJ / Marist	1/28/2016	718 LV ±3.7%	36%	20%	1%	43%
	YouGov / CBS	1/24/2016	805 LV ±5.7%	40%	21%	2%	37%
	Opinion Savvy	1/16/2016	683 LV ±3.7%	32%	18%	3%	47%
	AIF	12/22/2015	600 LV ±3.9%	27%	27%	-	46%
	YouGov / CBS	12/20/2015	852 LV ±6%	38%	23%	2%	37%
	Opinion Savvy	12/18/2015	536 LV ±4.2%	28%	21%	1%	50%
	Winthrop Poll	12/10/2015	828 LV ±3.4%	24%	16%	1%	59%
	Fox News	12/09/2015	437 LV ±4.5%	35%	14%	1%	50%
	YouGov / CBS	11/22/2015	862 LV ±5.4%	35%	13%	2%	50%
	Public Policy	11/10/2015	787 LV ±3.5%	25%	15%	3%	57%
	Monmouth University	11/09/2015	401 LV ±4.9%	27%	9%	1%	63%
	Palmetto Poll	10/27/2015	600 LV ±4%	23%	8%	2%	67%
	YouGov / CBS	10/25/2015	818 LV	40%	8%	2%	50%
	CNN \| ORC	10/14/2015	521 LV ±4.5%	36%	5%	1%	58%
	YouGov / CBS	9/13/2015	1,002 LV ±4.5%	36%	6%	4%	54%
	Public Policy	9/08/2015	764 LV ±3.6%	37%	6%	4%	53%
	Monmouth University	8/25/2015	453 LV ±4.6%	30%	5%	3%	62%
	Opinion Savvy	8/05/2015	509 LV ±4.3%	31%	4%	3%	62%
	Gravis Marketing	8/04/2015	609 LV ±4%	34%	3%	3%	60%
	Morning Consult	6/14/2015	389 LV ±5%	2%	6%	-	92%
	Winthrop Poll	4/15/2015	956 AV ±3.2%	2%	8%	-	90%
	Gravis Marketing	3/31/2015	1,371 RV ±3%	-	13%	-	87%
	Gravis Marketing	3/01/2015	792 RV ±3%	-	2%	-	98%
	Public Policy	2/18/2015	525 RV ±4.3%	-	3%	-	97%
	NBC News/ Marist	2/15/2015	450 RV ±4.6%	-	1%	-	99%
	Gravis Marketing	1/27/2015	831 LV ±3%	-	8%	-	92%
	Gravis Marketing	1/27/2015	831 LV ±3%	-	9%	-	91%

Show:

* The average includes the most recent poll from each source within the past 30 days, up to a maximum of five. If five polls are found, and there are other qualifying polls on that same calendar date, those will also be included.

2016 South Carolina Republican Primary

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