2016 Michigan Republican Primary

Date: March 8, 2016
Delegates: 59
Allocation: Threshold
Threshold: 15% (minimum vote to win delegates)
Notes: Winner Take All where a candidate exceeds 50%

Information is estimated and subject to change. Delegate allocation rules can be very complex; this overview may not capture some details. For those interested in the finer points, we suggest Greenpapers or FHQ.

Estimated Delegates Earned


Trump
25

Cruz
17

Kasich
17

Rubio
0

Delegate Counts: New York Times

Candidates in red have withdrawn from the race

Polls

Source Date Sample Trump Cruz Kasich Other
Poll Averages* 39.8% 22.2% 18.4% -
Monmouth University 3/07/2016 402 LV ±4.9% 36% 23% 21% 20%
Trafalgar Group 3/07/2016 1,610 LV ±2.4% 41% 23% 23% 13%
NBC News / WSJ / Marist 3/06/2016 482 LV ±4.5% 41% 22% 13% 24%
YouGov / CBS 3/06/2016 638 LV ±5.9% 39% 24% 15% 22%
Mitchell Research 3/06/2016 663 LV ±3.8% 42% 19% 20% 19%
American Research Group 3/05/2016 400 LV ±5% 31% 15% 33% 21%
Trafalgar Group 3/04/2016 1,643 LV ±2.4% 42% 20% 18% 20%
Mitchell Research 3/03/2016 643 LV ±3.9% 42% 19% 14% 25%
EPIC-MRA 3/02/2016 400 LV ±4.9% 29% 19% 8% 44%
Mitchell Research 3/02/2016 679 LV ±4.8% 39% 14% 12% 35%
Show:

* The average includes the most recent poll from each source within the past 30 days, up to a maximum of five. If five polls are found, and there are other qualifying polls on that same calendar date, those will also be included.