270toWin Redesign

2016 Alabama Republican Primary

Date: March 1, 2016
Delegates: 50
Allocation: Threshold
Threshold: 20% (minimum vote to win delegates)
Notes: Winner Take All where a candidate exceeds 50%. Some delegates allocated statewide and some by Congressional District

Information is estimated and subject to change. Delegate allocation rules can be very complex; this overview may not capture some details. For those interested in the finer points, we suggest Greenpapers or FHQ.

Estimated Delegates Earned


Trump
36

Cruz
13

Rubio
1

Kasich
0

Delegate Counts: New York Times

Candidates in red have withdrawn from the race

Polls

Source Date Sample Trump Cruz Kasich Other
Poll Averages* 38.7% 16.3% 6.7% -
Monmouth University 2/29/2016 450 LV ±4.6% 42% 16% 5% 37%
Opinion Savvy 2/26/2016 460 LV ±4.6% 36% 16% 8% 40%
Strategy Research 2/17/2016 2,300 RV ±2% 38% 17% 7% 38%
Gravis Marketing 9/03/2015 1,616 LV ±2% 38% 4% 1% 57%
Opinion Savvy 8/06/2015 481 LV ±4.4% 38% 5% 1% 56%

* The average includes the most recent poll from each source within the past 30 days, up to a maximum of five. If five polls are found, and there are other qualifying polls on that same calendar date, those will also be included.