Texas 2024 Presidential Election Polls

Biden vs. Trump

Source Date Sample Biden Trump Other
Average of 2 Polls† 35.5% 44.5% -
Texas Lyceum 5/22/2024 926 RV ±3.2% 31% 41% 28%
University of Texas 5/01/2024 1,200 RV ±2.8% 40% 48% 12%
TX Hispanic Policy Foundation 4/16/2024 1,600 LV ±2.5% 36% 48% 16%
Cygnal 4/11/2024 1,000 LV ±2.9% 42% 51% 7%
Marist Poll 3/26/2024 1,117 LV ±3.8% 44% 55% 1%
Univ. of Texas at Tyler 2/29/2024 1,167 RV ±3.2% 42% 46% 12%
University of Texas 2/19/2024 1,200 RV ±2.8% 41% 48% 11%
National Public Affairs 2/15/2024 807 LV ±3.5% 35% 42% 23%
Redfield & Wilton 2/07/2024 605 LV 35% 44% 21%
University of Houston 1/30/2024 1,145 LV ±2.9% 40% 49% 11%
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Including Third Parties and Independents

A separate average calculation for the subset of polls that have a question that names one or more notable candidates in addition to Biden and Trump. The inclusion of these names can significantly influence the polling average.

Source Date Sample Biden Stein Kennedy West Oliver Trump Other
Average of 2 Polls† 33.5% 1.5% 9.5% 1.5% - 43.0% -
Texas Lyceum 5/22/2024 926 RV ±3.2% 31% 1% 11% 1% - 41% 15%
University of Texas 5/01/2024 1,200 RV ±2.8% 36% 2% 8% 2% - 45% 7%
TX Hispanic Policy Foundation 4/16/2024 1,600 LV ±2.5% 34% 2% 9% - 1% 46% 8%
Cygnal 4/11/2024 1,000 LV ±2.9% 37% 2% 8% 1% - 46% 6%
Marist Poll 3/26/2024 1,117 LV ±3.8% 36% - 15% - - 48% 1%
Univ. of Texas at Tyler 2/29/2024 1,167 RV ±3.2% 37% 3% 13% 6% - 41% 0%
University of Texas 2/19/2024 1,200 RV ±2.8% 36% 2% 6% 3% - 45% 8%
National Public Affairs 2/15/2024 807 LV ±3.5% 35% - 6% 3% - 42% 14%
Redfield & Wilton 2/07/2024 605 LV 35% 1% 6% 1% - 44% 13%
University of Houston 1/30/2024 1,145 LV ±2.9% 40% 3% - - - 49% 8%
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†The average includes all polls within seven days of the date of the most recent poll, limited to one poll from any source. If there are fewer than five, the window is expanded to 30 days or five polls, whichever comes first. In the latter scenario, if there are multiple qualifying polls on the same calendar date as the oldest poll used, those will also be included.

When did it last happen?

This feature shows the most recent election where the state voted with or against the presidential winner in each party. Click the year to see the corresponding electoral map and results.
Texas Winner
Trump
Trump
Carter
Humphrey
Election Winner
Biden
Trump
Carter
Nixon
2020
2016
1976
1968