Nevada 2024 Presidential Election Polls

Harris vs. Trump

Source Date Sample Harris Trump Other
Average of 2 Polls† 41.5% 47.5% -
Redfield & Wilton 7/26/2024 435 LV ±4.1% 43% 45% 12%
InsiderAdvantage 7/18/2024 800 LV ±3.5% 40% 50% 10%
Bloomberg / Morning Consult 5/22/2024 459 RV ±5% 44% 47% 9%
Emerson College 2/22/2024 1,000 RV ±3% 39% 48% 13%
NY Times / Siena College 11/05/2023 611 RV ±4.4% 42% 48% 10%

Harris vs. Trump

Including Third Parties and Independents

A separate average calculation for the subset of polls that have a question that names one or more notable candidates in addition to Harris and Trump. The inclusion of these names can significantly influence the polling average.

Source Date Sample Harris Stein Kennedy West Oliver Trump Other
Redfield & Wilton 7/26/2024 435 LV ±4.1% 43% 1% 5% - 0% 45% 6%

Biden vs. Trump

Source Date Sample Biden Trump Other
Average of 5 Polls† 42.2% 46.6% -
Redfield & Wilton 7/21/2024 412 LV ±4.2% 41% 44% 15%
InsiderAdvantage 7/18/2024 800 LV ±3.5% 42% 49% 9%
Emerson College 7/18/2024 1,000 RV ±3% 41% 46% 13%
The Times (UK) / YouGov 7/15/2024 800 RV ±4.7% 42% 46% 12%
Bloomberg / Morning Consult 7/06/2024 452 RV ±5% 45% 48% 7%
National Public Affairs 7/03/2024 817 LV ±3.4% 33% 42% 25%
Emerson College 7/02/2024 1,000 RV ±3% 41% 47% 12%
AARP 6/25/2024 600 LV ±4% 45% 48% 7%
Emerson College 6/20/2024 1,000 RV ±3% 43% 46% 11%
Fox News 6/06/2024 1,069 RV ±3% 45% 50% 5%
Show:

Biden vs. Trump

Including Third Parties and Independents

A separate average calculation for the subset of polls that have a question that names one or more notable candidates in addition to Biden and Trump. The inclusion of these names can significantly influence the polling average.

Source Date Sample Biden Stein Kennedy West Oliver Trump Other
Average of 5 Polls† 39.0% 1.0% 7.0% 1.5% 0.5% 44.0% -
Redfield & Wilton 7/21/2024 412 LV ±4.2% 41% 1% 7% - 0% 44% 7%
Emerson College 7/18/2024 1,000 RV ±3% 40% 1% 7% 1% 1% 43% 7%
The Times (UK) / YouGov 7/15/2024 800 RV ±4.7% 42% 1% 3% 0% - 46% 8%
Bloomberg / Morning Consult 7/06/2024 452 RV ±5% 39% 0% 6% 2% 1% 45% 7%
National Public Affairs 7/03/2024 817 LV ±3.4% 33% 2% 12% 3% 0% 42% 8%
Emerson College 7/02/2024 1,000 RV ±3% 38% 2% 7% 1% 1% 45% 6%
AARP 6/25/2024 600 LV ±4% 37% 1% 10% - 1% 44% 7%
Emerson College 6/20/2024 1,000 RV ±3% 39% 2% 7% 2% - 42% 8%
Fox News 6/06/2024 1,069 RV ±3% 40% 2% 7% 2% - 45% 4%
Florida Atlantic U. 5/23/2024 494 LV 40% - 8% - - 46% 6%
Show:

†The average includes all polls within seven days of the date of the most recent poll, limited to one poll from any source. If there are fewer than five, the window is expanded to 30 days or five polls, whichever comes first. In the latter scenario, if there are multiple qualifying polls on the same calendar date as the oldest poll used, those will also be included.

When did it last happen?

This feature shows the most recent election where the state voted with or against the presidential winner in each party. Click the year to see the corresponding electoral map and results.
Nevada Winner
Biden
Clinton
Bush
Ford
Election Winner
Biden
Trump
Bush
Carter
2020
2016
2004
1976