Estimated Delegates Earned
Delegate counts will be available beginning with the Iowa Caucus on February 3, 2020. A majority of the estimated 2,550 (1,276+) are needed to win the Republican nomination on the first ballot.
The map below shows the number of delegates each state will send to the Republican convention. Use the filters below the map to view it in different ways. Click a state to see polling detail and an overview of its primary or caucus.
|February||Super Tues||March 4-31||April||May||After May|
Locations in gray have not yet set a date or have cancelled their 2020 primary/caucus. Those delegate counts are not included in the monthly breakdown. Select a radio button to display the map along the chosen dimension. Use the drop-down boxes to limit the display to specific time, type or allocation method. The number of delegates and percentage of all 2,550 delegates associated with your options will display. Information is estimated and subject to change. Some states have an extended process for choosing delegates; the time used on the map is generally the start of the process. Allocation methods and contest types are categorized based on best fit; select a state on the map for more detail and links to external resources. Special thanks to Greenpapers and FHQ for making it a lot easier to aggregate the data. Visit those sites for the finer details of the state-by-state allocation rules.
The results of national polling for a preferred Republican nominee is shown below. While these national polls are directionally interesting, the nominee will ultimately be chosen based on delegates earned during state-by-state primary and caucus votes.
|The Economist/YouGov||3/04/2020||232 LV||94%||2%||4%|
|The Economist/YouGov||2/26/2020||385 LV||92%||2%||6%|
|The Economist/YouGov||2/19/2020||358 LV||91%||1%||8%|
|Emerson College||2/18/2020||482 RV||91%||9%||0%|
|The Economist/YouGov||2/12/2020||349 LV||90%||5%||5%|
|The Economist/YouGov||2/05/2020||401 LV||89%||1%||10%|
|The Economist/YouGov||1/29/2020||384 LV||89%||2%||9%|
|Emerson College||1/23/2020||412 LV||92%||6%||2%|
|The Economist/YouGov||1/22/2020||459 LV||89%||2%||9%|
|The Economist/YouGov||1/15/2020||362 LV||88%||1%||11%|
* The average includes the most recent poll from each source within the past 30 days, up to a maximum of five. If five polls are found, and there are other qualifying polls on that same calendar date, those will also be included.