Arizona 2020 Presidential Election Polls

Biden vs. Trump

Source Date Sample Biden Trump Other
Poll Averages* 47.9% 45.6% -
Susquehanna 10/23/2020 500 LV ±4.3% 46% 46% 8%
Morning Consult 10/22/2020 1,066 LV ±3% 47% 48% 5%
Ipsos/Reuters 10/21/2020 658 LV ±4.4% 49% 46% 5%
Rasmussen Reports 10/21/2020 800 LV ±3.5% 48% 46% 6%
CNBC/Change Research 10/20/2020 232 LV 51% 45% 4%
RMG Research 10/20/2020 800 LV ±3.5% 47% 46% 7%
Data Orbital 10/20/2020 550 LV ±4.2% 47% 42% 11%
YouGov/CBS News 10/18/2020 1,074 LV ±4.1% 50% 47% 3%
Monmouth University 10/15/2020 502 RV ±4.4% 50% 44% 6%
OH Predictive Insights 10/15/2020 608 LV ±4% 50% 47% 3%
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Including Third Parties

Calculated averages are not comparable to those for the Biden vs. Trump polls. As polling with third parties has been very limited, the polls included in the average are often different.

Source Date Sample Biden Trump Jorgensen Hawkins Other
Poll Averages* 48.4% 44.6% 2.8% - -
Susquehanna 10/23/2020 500 LV ±4.3% 46% 46% 4% - 4%
Ipsos/Reuters 10/21/2020 658 LV ±4.4% 50% 46% 1% 0% 3%
Data Orbital 10/20/2020 550 LV ±4.2% 47% 42% 3% - 8%
Monmouth University 10/15/2020 502 RV ±4.4% 50% 44% 2% - 4%
OH Predictive Insights 10/15/2020 608 LV ±4% 49% 45% 4% - 2%
Ipsos/Reuters 10/14/2020 667 LV ±4.3% 49% 47% 1% 0% 3%
Redfield & Wilton 10/09/2020 727 LV ±3.6% 49% 43% 1% 1% 6%
Trafalgar Group 10/09/2020 1,087 LV ±2.9% 44% 48% 2% - 6%
Data Orbital 10/07/2020 550 LV ±4.2% 48% 43% 3% - 6%
NY Times / Siena College 10/05/2020 655 LV ±4.2% 49% 41% 3% - 7%
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* The average includes the most recent poll from each source within the past 30 days, up to a maximum of five. If five polls are found, and there are other qualifying polls on that same calendar date, those will also be included.

When did it last happen?

This feature shows the most recent election where the state voted with or against the presidential winner in each party. Click the year to see the corresponding electoral map and results.
Arizona Winner
Trump
Romney
Clinton
Election Winner
Trump
Obama
Clinton
2016
2012
1996
Never