270toWin Redesign

Representation Differs from Presidential Vote

2018 Midterms vs. 2016 Presidential Election
Most districts vote the same way for president and U.S. House representative. These 34 split the two.

There are currently 31 districts represented by a Democrat that voted for Donald Trump in 2016. Only 3 GOP-represented districts voted for Hillary Clinton. Not surprisingly, most of these seats are seen as highly competitive in 2020.

See all members of the U.S. House and create your own 2020 forecast with our Interactive House Map.

Hover over a district for details.

District Incumbent Party Since Term 2020 Rating Margin of Victory
House(a) President(b)
AZ-1 Tom O'Halleran
2017 2nd
7.6% 1.1%
GA-6 Lucy McBath
2019 1st
1.0% 1.5%
IA-1 Abby Finkenauer
2019 1st
5.0% 3.5%
IA-2 David Loebsack
2007 7th
12.1% 4.1%
Incumbent not running for re-election in 2020.
IA-3 Cindy Axne
2019 1st
2.1% 3.5%
IL-14 Lauren Underwood
2019 1st
4.9% 3.9%
IL-17 Cheri Bustos
2013 4th
23.5% 0.6%
ME-2 Jared Golden
2019 1st
1.0% 10.3%
MI-8 Elissa Slotkin
2019 1st
3.8% 6.7%
MI-11 Haley Stevens
2019 1st
6.6% 4.4%
MN-2 Angela Craig
2019 1st
5.5% 1.2%
MN-7 Collin Peterson
1991 15th
4.2% 30.8%
NH-1 Chris Pappas
2019 1st
8.5% 1.6%
NJ-2 Jeff Van Drew
2019 1st
7.6% 4.6%
NJ-3 Andy Kim
2019 1st
1.2% 6.2%
NJ-5 Josh Gottheimer
2017 2nd
16.9% 1.0%
NJ-11 Mikie Sherrill
2019 1st
14.6% 0.8%
NM-2 Xochitl Torres Small
2019 1st
1.8% 10.2%
NV-3 Susie Lee
2019 1st
9.0% 1.0%
NY-11 Max Rose
2019 1st
5.9% 9.8%
NY-18 Sean P. Maloney
2013 4th
10.1% 1.9%
NY-19 Antonio Delgado
2019 1st
2.8% 6.8%
NY-22 Anthony Brindisi
2019 1st
1.2% 15.5%
NY-24 John Katko
2015 3rd
6.2% 3.6%
OK-5 Kendra Horn
2019 1st
1.3% 13.4%
PA-1 Brian Fitzpatrick
2017 2nd
2.5% 2.0%
PA-8 Matthew Cartwright
2013 4th
9.2% 9.5%
PA-17 Conor Lamb
2018 2nd
12.5% 2.5%
SC-1 Joe Cunningham
2019 1st
1.3% 13.1%
TX-23 Will Hurd
2015 3rd
0.4% 3.4%
Incumbent not running for re-election in 2020.
UT-4 Ben McAdams
2019 1st
0.2% 6.7%
VA-2 Elaine Luria
2019 1st
2.2% 3.4%
VA-7 Abigail Spanberger
2019 1st
1.9% 6.5%
WI-3 Ron Kind
1997 12th
19.3% 4.5%

(a)Source: Daily Kos, 270toWin research. The margin is the percentage difference between the top two vote-getters in 2018.
More recent results (i.e., special elections held in 2019-20 for vacancies) are not displayed.
* Race was uncontested | ^Top two vote-getters were from the same party

(b)Source: Daily Kos. The margin is the percentage difference between Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton.