2018 Senate Election Race Ratings & Polls

Battle for Control of the Senate

Race Ratings: Track the competitiveness of each of the 34 Senate elections in 2018, based on the assessment of three professional pundits. Any rating changes within the last 30 days are noted, enabling you to see how a race is trending. State names colored green have polls; click for details.

The Battle for Control section summarizes all these races by level of competitiveness, highlighting the number of competitive seats held by each party. Republicans need 50 for control, Democrats 51. The numbers highlighted in yellow indicate how close each party is before the more competitive races are considered.





Battle for Control

Current Senate 49 51
2018 Elections -26 -9
Continuing Seats 23 42
Not Competitivea 14 3
Safe/No 2018 Election 37 45
Not Very Competitiveb 3 3
Likely 2019 Minimum 40 48
Competitive/At-Riskc 9 3
aAll pundits: Safe for incumbent party
bAll pundits: Safe or likely for incumbent party
cMost competitive races: At least one pundit, although usually all 3, rate as lean or toss-up
Arizona
Sabato Inside Elect. Cook
Toss-Up Toss-Up Toss-Up
California
Sabato Inside Elect. Cook
Safe Solid Solid
Connecticut
Sabato Inside Elect. Cook
Safe Solid Solid
Delaware
Sabato Inside Elect. Cook
Safe Solid Solid
Florida
Sabato Inside Elect. Cook
Toss-Up Toss-Up Toss-Up
Hawaii
Sabato Inside Elect. Cook
Safe Solid Solid
Indiana
Sabato Inside Elect. Cook
Toss-Up Toss-Up Toss-Up
Maine
Sabato Inside Elect. Cook
Safe Solid Solid
Maryland
Sabato Inside Elect. Cook
Safe Solid Solid
Massachusetts
Sabato Inside Elect. Cook
Safe Solid Solid
Michigan
Sabato Inside Elect. Cook
Likely Solid Likely
Minnesota
Sabato Inside Elect. Cook
Safe Solid Solid
Minnesota - S
Sabato Inside Elect. Cook
Likely Likely Lean
Mississippi - S
Sabato Inside Elect. Cook
Likely Solid Likely
Mississippi
Sabato Inside Elect. Cook
Safe Solid Solid
Missouri
Sabato Inside Elect. Cook
Toss-Up Toss-Up Toss-Up
Montana
Sabato Inside Elect. Cook
Lean Tilt D Likely
Nebraska
Sabato Inside Elect. Cook
Safe Solid Likely
Nevada
Sabato Inside Elect. Cook
Toss-Up Toss-Up Toss-Up
New Jersey
Sabato Inside Elect. Cook
Likely Solid Likely
New Mexico
Sabato Inside Elect. Cook
Safe Solid Solid
New York
Sabato Inside Elect. Cook
Safe Solid Solid
North Dakota
Sabato Inside Elect. Cook
Toss-Up Toss-Up Toss-Up
Ohio
Sabato Inside Elect. Cook
Likely Lean Lean
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Pennsylvania
Sabato Inside Elect. Cook
Likely Likely Likely
Rhode Island
Sabato Inside Elect. Cook
Safe Solid Solid
Tennessee
Sabato Inside Elect. Cook
Lean Lean Toss-Up
Texas
Sabato Inside Elect. Cook
Likely Likely Likely
Utah
Sabato Inside Elect. Cook
Safe Solid Solid
Vermont
Sabato Inside Elect. Cook
Safe Solid Solid
Virginia
Sabato Inside Elect. Cook
Safe Solid Solid
Washington
Sabato Inside Elect. Cook
Safe Solid Solid
West Virginia
Sabato Inside Elect. Cook
Toss-Up Toss-Up Toss-Up
Wisconsin
Sabato Inside Elect. Cook
Lean Tilt D Likely
Wyoming
Sabato Inside Elect. Cook
Safe Solid Solid
Incumbent independent Senators from Maine and Vermont caucus with the Democrats. For more detail on the pro Senate forecasts, visit Sabato’s Crystal Ball, The Cook Political Report and Inside Elections.

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