2018 Senate Election Race Ratings & Polls

Battle for Control of the Senate

Race Ratings: Track the competitiveness of each of the 35 Senate elections in 2018, based on the assessment of three professional pundits. Any rating changes within the last 30 days are noted, enabling you to see how a race is trending. State names colored green have polls; click for details. You can also see all recent Senate polls on a single page.

The Battle for Control section summarizes all these races by level of competitiveness, highlighting the number of competitive seats held by each party. Republicans need 50 for control, Democrats 51. The numbers highlighted in yellow indicate how close each party is before the more competitive races are considered.





Battle for Control

Current Senate 49 51
2018 Elections -26 -9
Continuing Seats 23 42
Not Competitivea 14 4
Safe/No 2018 Election 37 46
Not Very Competitiveb 3
Likely 2019 Minimum 40 46
Competitive/At-Riskc 9 5
aAll pundits: Safe for incumbent party
bAll pundits: Safe or likely for incumbent party
cMost competitive races: At least one pundit, although usually all 3, rate as lean or toss-up
Arizona
Sabato Inside Elect. Cook
Toss-Up Toss-Up Toss-Up
California
Sabato Inside Elect. Cook
Safe Solid Solid
Connecticut
Sabato Inside Elect. Cook
Safe Solid Solid
Delaware
Sabato Inside Elect. Cook
Safe Solid Solid
Florida
Sabato Inside Elect. Cook
Toss-Up Toss-Up Toss-Up
Hawaii
Sabato Inside Elect. Cook
Safe Solid Solid
Indiana
Sabato Inside Elect. Cook
Toss-Up Toss-Up Toss-Up
Maine
Sabato Inside Elect. Cook
Safe Solid Solid
Maryland
Sabato Inside Elect. Cook
Safe Solid Solid
Massachusetts
Sabato Inside Elect. Cook
Safe Solid Solid
Michigan
Sabato Inside Elect. Cook
Safe Solid Likely
10/04
>
Minnesota
Sabato Inside Elect. Cook
Safe Solid Solid
Minnesota - S
Sabato Inside Elect. Cook
Likely Likely Lean
Mississippi
Sabato Inside Elect. Cook
Safe Solid Solid
Mississippi - S
Sabato Inside Elect. Cook
Likely Solid Lean
10/12
>
Missouri
Sabato Inside Elect. Cook
Toss-Up Toss-Up Toss-Up
Montana
Sabato Inside Elect. Cook
Lean Tilt D Toss-Up
10/04
>
Nebraska
Sabato Inside Elect. Cook
Safe Solid Solid
9/28
>
Nevada
Sabato Inside Elect. Cook
Toss-Up Toss-Up Toss-Up
New Jersey
Sabato Inside Elect. Cook
Likely Likely Lean
10/12
>
10/04
>
New Mexico
Sabato Inside Elect. Cook
Safe Solid Solid
New York
Sabato Inside Elect. Cook
Safe Solid Solid
North Dakota
Sabato Inside Elect. Cook
Lean Tilt R Lean
10/11
>
10/19
>
Ohio
Sabato Inside Elect. Cook
Likely Likely Likely
9/28
>
Pennsylvania
Sabato Inside Elect. Cook
Safe Likely Likely
Rhode Island
Sabato Inside Elect. Cook
Safe Solid Solid
Tennessee
Sabato Inside Elect. Cook
Lean Lean Toss-Up
Texas
Sabato Inside Elect. Cook
Lean Likely Toss-Up
9/21
>
Utah
Sabato Inside Elect. Cook
Safe Solid Solid
Vermont
Sabato Inside Elect. Cook
Safe Solid Solid
Virginia
Sabato Inside Elect. Cook
Safe Solid Solid
Washington
Sabato Inside Elect. Cook
Safe Solid Solid
West Virginia
Sabato Inside Elect. Cook
Lean Tilt D Lean
9/21
>
Wisconsin
Sabato Inside Elect. Cook
Likely Lean Likely
Wyoming
Sabato Inside Elect. Cook
Safe Solid Solid
Incumbent independent Senators from Maine and Vermont caucus with the Democrats. For more detail on the pro Senate forecasts, visit Sabato’s Crystal Ball, The Cook Political Report and Inside Elections.

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