2018 Senate Election Race Ratings & Polls

Battle for Control of the Senate

Race Ratings: Track the competitiveness of each of the 33 Senate elections in 2018, based on the assessment of three professional pundits. Any rating changes within the last 30 days are noted, enabling you to see how a race is trending. Note that there are 34 races on this page, including the Alabama Senate Special Election to be held December 12th, 2017.

The Battle for Control section summarizes all these races by level of competitiveness, highlighting the number of competitive seats held by each party. Republicans need 50 for control, Democrats 51. The numbers highlighted in yellow indicate how close each party is before the more competitive races are considered.





Battle for Control

Current Senate 48 52
2018 Elections -25 -9
Continuing Seats 23 43
Not Competitivea 12 4
Safe/No 2018 Election 35 47
Not Very Competitiveb 3 2
Likely 2019 Minimum 38 49
Competitive/At-Riskc 10 3
aAll pundits: Safe for incumbent party
bAll pundits: Safe or likely for incumbent party
cMost competitive races: At least one pundit, although usually all 3, rate as lean or toss-up
Alabama
Sabato Inside Elect. Cook
Lean Toss-Up Toss-Up
11/15
>
11/14
>
11/14
>
Arizona
Sabato Inside Elect. Cook
Toss-Up Toss-Up Toss-Up
California
Sabato Inside Elect. Cook
Safe Safe Solid
Connecticut
Sabato Inside Elect. Cook
Safe Safe Solid
Delaware
Sabato Inside Elect. Cook
Safe Safe Solid
Florida
Sabato Inside Elect. Cook
Toss-Up Tilt D Lean
11/16
>
Hawaii
Sabato Inside Elect. Cook
Safe Safe Solid
Indiana
Sabato Inside Elect. Cook
Toss-Up Toss-Up Toss-Up
Maine
Sabato Inside Elect. Cook
Likely Safe Lean
Maryland
Sabato Inside Elect. Cook
Safe Safe Solid
Massachusetts
Sabato Inside Elect. Cook
Safe Safe Solid
Michigan
Sabato Inside Elect. Cook
Likely Safe Likely
Minnesota
Sabato Inside Elect. Cook
Safe Safe Solid
Mississippi
Sabato Inside Elect. Cook
Safe Safe Solid
Missouri
Sabato Inside Elect. Cook
Toss-Up Toss-Up Toss-Up
Montana
Sabato Inside Elect. Cook
Lean Tilt D Likely
Nebraska
Sabato Inside Elect. Cook
Safe Safe Solid
Nevada
Sabato Inside Elect. Cook
Toss-Up Toss-Up Toss-Up
New Jersey
Sabato Inside Elect. Cook
Likely Safe Likely
New Mexico
Sabato Inside Elect. Cook
Safe Safe Solid
New York
Sabato Inside Elect. Cook
Safe Safe Solid
North Dakota
Sabato Inside Elect. Cook
Lean Toss-Up Lean
Ohio
Sabato Inside Elect. Cook
Lean Lean Lean
Pennsylvania
Sabato Inside Elect. Cook
Likely Lean Likely
Rhode Island
Sabato Inside Elect. Cook
Safe Safe Solid
Tennessee
Sabato Inside Elect. Cook
Likely Safe Likely
11/16
>
Texas
Sabato Inside Elect. Cook
Likely Safe Solid
Utah
Sabato Inside Elect. Cook
Safe Safe Solid
Vermont
Sabato Inside Elect. Cook
Safe Safe Solid
Virginia
Sabato Inside Elect. Cook
Likely Favored Likely
Washington
Sabato Inside Elect. Cook
Safe Safe Solid
West Virginia
Sabato Inside Elect. Cook
Lean Toss-Up Toss-Up
Wisconsin
Sabato Inside Elect. Cook
Lean Tilt D Likely
Wyoming
Sabato Inside Elect. Cook
Safe Safe Solid
Incumbent independent Senators from Maine and Vermont caucus with the Democrats. For more detail on the pro Senate forecasts, visit Sabato’s Crystal Ball, The Cook Political Report and Inside Elections.

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