270toWin Redesign

2016 Texas Republican Primary

Date: March 1, 2016
Delegates: 155
Allocation: Threshold
Threshold: 20% (minimum vote to win delegates)
Notes: Winner Take All where a candidate exceeds 50%. Some delegates allocated statewide and some by Congressional District

Information is estimated and subject to change. Delegate allocation rules can be very complex; this overview may not capture some details. For those interested in the finer points, we suggest Greenpapers or FHQ.

Estimated Delegates Earned


Cruz
104

Trump
48

Rubio
3

Kasich
0

Delegate Counts: New York Times

Candidates in red have withdrawn from the race

Polls

Source Date Sample Cruz Trump Kasich Other
Poll Averages* 37.0% 29.2% 7.0% -
American Research Group 2/29/2016 400 LV ±5% 33% 32% 7% 28%
Emerson College 2/29/2016 449 LV ±4.6% 35% 32% 9% 24%
Opinion Savvy 2/29/2016 712 LV ±3.7% 36% 25% 9% 30%
NBC News / WSJ / Marist 2/28/2016 537 LV ±4.2% 39% 26% 6% 29%
YouGov / CBS 2/28/2016 796 LV ±5.6% 42% 31% 4% 23%
Monmouth University 2/25/2016 456 LV ±4.6% 38% 23% 5% 34%
Emerson College 2/24/2016 446 LV ±4.6% 29% 28% 9% 34%
Univ. of Houston 2/24/2016 415 LV ±4.8% 35% 20% 4% 41%
Dixie Strategies 2/24/2016 725 LV ±3.6% 33% 25% 8% 34%
Texas Pulse/Statesman 2/24/2016 620 LV ±4% 38% 26% 7% 29%
Show:

* The average includes the most recent poll from each source within the past 30 days, up to a maximum of five. If five polls are found, and there are other qualifying polls on that same calendar date, those will also be included.