270toWin Redesign

2016 Oklahoma Republican Primary

Date: March 1, 2016
Delegates: 43
Allocation: Threshold
Threshold: 15% (minimum vote to win delegates)
Notes: Winner Take All where a candidate exceeds 50%. Some delegates allocated statewide and some by Congressional District

Information is estimated and subject to change. Delegate allocation rules can be very complex; this overview may not capture some details. For those interested in the finer points, we suggest Greenpapers or FHQ.

Estimated Delegates Earned


Cruz
15

Trump
14

Rubio
12

Kasich
0

Delegate Counts: New York Times

Candidates in red have withdrawn from the race

Polls

Source Date Sample Trump Cruz Kasich Other
Poll Averages* 32.7% 20.3% 6.3% -
Monmouth University 2/29/2016 403 LV ±4.9% 35% 23% 8% 34%
Sooner Poll 2/29/2016 540 LV ±4.2% 34% 18% 6% 42%
Cole Hargrave 2/24/2016 400 LV ±4.9% 29% 20% 5% 46%
Sooner Poll 2/09/2016 414 LV ±4.8% 30% 25% 3% 42%
Cole Hargrave 1/31/2016 300 LV ±5.6% 25% 21% - 54%
Sooner Poll 1/22/2016 541 LV ±4.2% 35% 25% - 40%
Sooner Poll 11/18/2015 389 RV ±5100% 27% 18% 1% 54%
The Oklahoman 10/27/2015 500 RV ±4.3% 19% 7% 2% 72%
Opinion Savvy 8/06/2015 402 LV ±4.8% 36% 7% 2% 55%

* The average includes the most recent poll from each source within the past 30 days, up to a maximum of five. If five polls are found, and there are other qualifying polls on that same calendar date, those will also be included.