270toWin Redesign

2016 Arkansas Republican Primary

Date: March 1, 2016
Delegates: 40
Allocation: Threshold
Threshold: 15% (minimum vote to win delegates)
Notes: Winner Take All where a candidate exceeds 50%. Some delegates allocated statewide and some by Congressional District

Information is estimated and subject to change. Delegate allocation rules can be very complex; this overview may not capture some details. For those interested in the finer points, we suggest Greenpapers or FHQ.

Estimated Delegates Earned


Trump
16

Cruz
15

Rubio
9

Kasich
0

Delegate Counts: New York Times

Candidates in red have withdrawn from the race

Polls

Source Date Sample Cruz Trump Kasich Other
Poll Averages* 27.0% 23.0% 4.0% -
Talk Business 2/07/2016 457 LV 27% 23% 4% 46%
Opinion Savvy 8/06/2015 428 LV ±4.7% 9% 26% 3% 62%

* The average includes the most recent poll from each source within the past 30 days, up to a maximum of five. If five polls are found, and there are other qualifying polls on that same calendar date, those will also be included.