270toWin Redesign

2016 Arizona Republican Primary

Date: March 22, 2016
Delegates: 58
Allocation: Winner Take All

Information is estimated and subject to change. Delegate allocation rules can be very complex; this overview may not capture some details. For those interested in the finer points, we suggest Greenpapers or FHQ.

Estimated Delegates Earned


Trump
58

Cruz
0

Kasich
0

Delegate Counts: New York Times

Candidates in red have withdrawn from the race

Polls

Source Date Sample Trump Cruz Kasich Other
Poll Averages* 38.0% 25.0% 14.0% -
Opinion Savvy 3/21/2016 607 LV ±4% 46% 33% 17% 4%
Merrill Poll 3/15/2016 300 LV ±5.4% 31% 19% 10% 40%
MBQF Consulting 3/10/2016 751 LV ±3.6% 37% 23% 15% 25%
MBQF Consulting 2/23/2016 736 LV ±3.6% 35% 14% 7% 44%
MBQF Consulting 1/21/2016 771 LV ±3.5% 38% 16% 3% 43%
Rocky Mountain Poll 11/11/2015 226 RV ±6.7% 21% 5% - 74%
Gravis Marketing 8/19/2015 844 LV ±3.4% 33% 8% 4% 55%
Public Policy 5/06/2015 300 RV ±5.7% - 9% - 91%

* The average includes the most recent poll from each source within the past 30 days, up to a maximum of five. If five polls are found, and there are other qualifying polls on that same calendar date, those will also be included.