270toWin Redesign

2016 Pennsylvania Democratic Primary

Date: April 26, 2016
Delegates: 210
Allocation: Proportional
Threshold: 15% (minimum vote to win delegates)
Notes: Some delegates allocated statewide and some by Congressional District

Information is estimated and subject to change. Delegate allocation rules can be very complex; this overview may not capture some details. For those interested in the finer points, we suggest Greenpapers or FHQ.

Estimated Delegates Earned


Clinton
106

Sanders
83

Delegate Counts: New York Times

Polls

Source Date Sample Clinton Sanders Other
Poll Averages* 53.4% 40.6% -
Public Policy 4/25/2016 728 LV ±3.6% 51% 41% 8%
American Research Group 4/25/2016 400 LV ±5% 58% 38% 4%
Opinion Savvy 4/25/2016 942 LV ±3.2% 52% 41% 7%
NBC News / WSJ / Marist 4/24/2016 734 LV ±3.6% 55% 40% 5%
YouGov / CBS 4/24/2016 831 LV ±6.7% 51% 43% 6%
Harper Polling 4/23/2016 641 LV ±3.9% 61% 33% 6%
Franklin & Marshall 4/21/2016 510 RV ±4.2% 58% 31% 11%
Monmouth University 4/20/2016 302 LV ±5.6% 52% 39% 9%
Fox News 4/10/2016 805 LV ±3.5% 49% 38% 13%
Quinnipiac 4/06/2016 514 LV ±4.3% 50% 44% 6%
Show:

* The average includes the most recent poll from each source within the past 30 days, up to a maximum of five. If five polls are found, and there are other qualifying polls on that same calendar date, those will also be included.