2016 Election Competitive States
As of November 5th
These are the states where the 2016 election is most like to be won or lost, based on a combination of polling and professional forecasts. For the map based just on polling, including a break out of states leaning toward one nominee, see the electoral map based on polls. To see a map based just on pro forecasts, see the consensus pundit map. For our view, see the 270toWin State of the Race map.
As the election draws near, these various maps should converge on roughly the same prediction.
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Headlines
Sabato's Crystal Ball Initial 2025-26 Gubernatorial Ratings
38 seats will hold elections through 2026, including New Jersey and Virginia this year
Live Results: April 29 Iowa and Minnesota Legislative Special Elections
Vacancies will be filled in the Iowa State House and Minnesota State Senate
Rep. Andy Barr Running to Succeed Sen. Mitch McConnell
A closely-contested primary against former Attorney General Daniel Cameron is expected.
Live Results: April 22 Connecticut and Mississippi State House Special Elections
Three vacancies will be filled across these two states
Michigan Rep. Haley Stevens Running for U.S. Senate
She will look to succeed retiring fellow Democratic Sen. Gary Peters
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