2016 Election Competitive States

As of November 5th

These are the states where the 2016 election is most like to be won or lost, based on a combination of polling and professional forecasts. For the map based just on polling, including a break out of states leaning toward one nominee, see the electoral map based on polls.  To see a map based just on pro forecasts, see the consensus pundit map. For our view, see the 270toWin State of the Race map.

As the election draws near, these various maps should converge on roughly the same prediction.

 

The map at this URL was originally created for the 2016 election as a Trump vs. Clinton forecast. For an interactive map, choose one of the following:
  • Click here to go to the 2016 historical interactive map
  • Click here to create a 2024 map at the home page
  • Click here to edit the map below (2024 electoral votes will display)
no 2016 election
no 2016 election
VT
NH
MA
RI
CT
NJ
DE
MD
DC

Map :

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Safe Likely Leans Tilt Toss-up 3P
State District
1 2 3
ME
NE

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Headlines

Overview and Live Results: Pennsylvania Primary

April 23, 2024

Keystone State voters will weigh in on both presidential and downballot contests

Wyoming and Puerto Rico Republican Nominating Contests

April 20, 2024

The Wyoming State Convention concludes a multi-step nominating process, while a party-run primary takes place in the U.S. territory

Kansas Republican Rep. Jake LaTurner Not Seeking Reelection

April 18, 2024

His retirement announcement cites a desire to spend more time with his family

Live Results: Alabama Congressional Primary Runoff, Michigan State House Special Elections

April 16, 2024

The 2nd Congressional District, open due to redistricting, represents a Democratic pick-up opportunity in the fall

Live Results: Alaska and Wyoming Democratic Presidential Contests

April 13, 2024

Party run events in these two states will add to President Biden's Delegate Advantage