2016 Election Competitive States

As of November 5th

These are the states where the 2016 election is most like to be won or lost, based on a combination of polling and professional forecasts. For the map based just on polling, including a break out of states leaning toward one nominee, see the electoral map based on polls.  To see a map based just on pro forecasts, see the consensus pundit map. For our view, see the 270toWin State of the Race map.

As the election draws near, these various maps should converge on roughly the same prediction.

 

The map at this URL was originally created for the 2016 election as a Trump vs. Clinton forecast. For an interactive map, choose one of the following:
  • Click here to go to the 2016 historical interactive map
  • Click here to create a 2028 map at the home page
  • Click here to edit the map below (2028 electoral votes will display)
no 2016 election
no 2016 election
VT
NH
MA
RI
CT
NJ
DE
MD
DC

Map :

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Safe Likely Leans Tilt Toss-up 3P
State District
1 2 3
ME
NE

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Headlines

Alabama Sen. Tommy Tuberville Announces Gubernatorial Campaign

May 27, 2025

He'll be the favorite to succeed termed-out Gov. Kay Ivey in this deep red state

Election Recap May 20, 2025: Pittsburgh Mayor Ousted in Primary

May 21, 2025

Mayor Ed Gainey was defeated by a more centrist Democrat.

Overview and Live Results: Pennsylvania Primaries

May 20, 2025

Pittsburgh's Mayor and the Philly DA will need to prevail against credible challengers to win renomination

Live Results: New York State Senate Special Election

May 20, 2025

A competitive race in this Brooklyn district to replace a conservative Democrat elected to City Council

Romanian Presidential Election Saga Ends Sunday

May 18, 2025

The election, between a centrist and hard-right nationalist, will have major implications on policy for this NATO and EU member country