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Updated 2018 Senate Ratings from Cook Political Report

Upshot Presidential Forecast

This isn't a popularity contest™
The map at this URL was originally created for the 2016 election. To create a 2020 map, visit the home page or begin editing below.

Updated three times a day, this is an electoral map derived from The New York Times Upshot state-level probabilities. The Upshot model combines state polls, a state's past election results and national polling to generate these probabilities.

The toss-up tan color is used when no candidate has a 60% or higher chance of winning. The colored gradients are used to show higher probabilities for Clinton or Trump, deepening as the chance of winning increases:  Light (60%+), Medium (80%+), Dark (90%+).

Use this map as a starting point to create and share your own 2016 presidential election forecast.

Map Features | Map Library | Pundit Forecasts | Historical Elections Timeline
Democrat
238
Republican
138

20
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Excl. faithless electors Details >>
MA
RI
CT
NJ
DE
MD
DC
District 1 2 3
ME 2 1 1
NE 2 1 1 1
Split Electoral Votes
Map Updated Jul 7, 2017 8:26AM

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Headlines

Updated 2018 Senate Ratings from Cook Political Report

Four races move to toss-up. Democrats need to gain 3 seats to take control in 2019; an incredibly difficult task given the seats up for election in 2018

Republicans Moore, Strange Advance to Primary Runoff in Alabama U.S. Senate Race

The two Republicans will meet in a September 26th runoff, with the winner favored against Democrat Doug Jones on December 12th

Massachusetts Rep. Tsongas Retiring; 21 House Members Not Seeking Reelection

Thirteen Republicans and eight Democrats are seeking higher office or retiring as of the 2018 midterm elections

Rokita to Run for Senate; 20th House Member Not Seeking Reelection

He joins fellow Indiana U.S. representative Luke Messer; both will vie for Republican nomination to unseat incumbent Democratic Senator Joe Donnelly

2020 New Hampshire Primary: Kasich Leads Trump, Pence

A poll this far out has very limited predictive value, but has some interesting parallels to one taken by the same pollster nearly 40 years ago




About this Site
270towin.com is an interactive Electoral College map for 2020 and a history of Presidential elections in the United States. Since electoral votes are generally allocated on an "all or none" basis by state, the election of a U.S President is about winning the popular vote in enough states to achieve 270 electoral votes, a majority of the 538 that are available. It is not about getting the most overall popular votes, as we saw in the 2000 election, when the electoral vote winner (Bush) and the popular vote winner (Gore) were different.
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