2024 President: Consensus Electoral Map

As of April 6, 2024

This map will track the consensus forecast for the 2024 presidential election. It is a composite of ratings by several forecasters. Only seats rated safe by all are shown as 'safe' for the incumbent party.

As a result of Census apportionment, some states have a different number of electoral votes in 2024. Use the buttons above the map to see what has changed.

The map is interactive; use it as a starting point to create and share your own 2024 presidential election forecast.

April 6: No changes 

For those interested, we have a separate map that only considers polling. In using that map, keep in mind that polls are a snapshot in time, reflecting public opinion when they are conducted. As such, they may be of limited predictive value until the election gets much closer.

no 2024 election
no 2024 election
VT
NH
MA
RI
CT
NJ
DE
MD
DC

Map :

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Safe Likely Leans Tilt Toss-up 3P
State District
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ME
NE

Customize your map by changing one or more states. Return here to share it. Share or Embed your Map:

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Headlines

Live Results: Puerto Rico Democratic Primary

April 28, 2024

The territory is expected to add 55 delegates to Joe Biden's total, which now exceeds 3,300

Overview and Live Results: Pennsylvania Primary

April 23, 2024

Keystone State voters will weigh in on both presidential and downballot contests

Wyoming and Puerto Rico Republican Nominating Contests

April 20, 2024

The Wyoming State Convention concludes a multi-step nominating process, while a party-run primary takes place in the U.S. territory

Kansas Republican Rep. Jake LaTurner Not Seeking Reelection

April 18, 2024

His retirement announcement cites a desire to spend more time with his family

Live Results: Alabama Congressional Primary Runoff, Michigan State House Special Elections

April 16, 2024

The 2nd Congressional District, open due to redistricting, represents a Democratic pick-up opportunity in the fall