2024 Polls: Arizona Senate

Gallego vs. Lake

Source Date Sample Gallego Lake Other
Average of 2 Polls† 40.0% 34.0% -
RABA Research 4/01/2024 503 RV ±4.4% 36% 28% 36%
Emerson College 3/20/2024 1,000 RV ±3% 44% 40% 16%
Emerson College 2/22/2024 1,000 RV ±3% 46% 39% 15%
National Research 10/10/2023 400 LV ±4.9% 44% 44% 12%
Noble Predictive Insights 8/03/2023 1,000 RV ±3.1% 45% 35% 20%
Noble Predictive Insights 2/16/2023 1,000 RV ±3.1% 43% 33% 24%

Gallego vs. Sinema vs. Lake

Source Date Sample Gallego Sinema* Lake Other
Emerson College 2/22/2024 1,000 RV ±3% 36% 21% 30% 13%
Tulchin Research 12/08/2023 800 LV ±3.5% 39% 17% 34% 10%
Noble Predictive Insights 11/16/2023 1,010 RV ±3.1% 39% 29% 33% -1%
National Research 10/10/2023 400 LV ±4.9% 33% 19% 37% 11%
Noble Predictive Insights 8/03/2023 1,000 RV ±3.1% 34% 26% 25% 15%
Noble Predictive Insights 2/16/2023 1,000 RV ±3.1% 34% 21% 19% 26%
Blueprint Polling 1/11/2023 618 LV ±3.9% 32% 14% 36% 18%

Gallego vs. Sinema vs. Lamb

Source Date Sample Gallego Sinema* Lamb Other
Average of 2 Polls† 34.5% 22.5% 27.0% -
Emerson College 8/08/2023 1,337 RV ±2.6% 36% 21% 29% 14%
Noble Predictive Insights 8/03/2023 1,000 RV ±3.1% 33% 24% 25% 18%

Gallego vs. Lamb

Source Date Sample Gallego Lamb Other
Average of 2 Polls† 41.0% 39.0% -
Emerson College 8/08/2023 1,337 RV ±2.6% 42% 42% 16%
Noble Predictive Insights 8/03/2023 1,000 RV ±3.1% 40% 36% 24%

* Incumbent
†The average includes all polls within seven days of the date of the most recent poll, limited to one poll from any source. If there are fewer than five, the window is expanded to 30 days or five polls, whichever comes first. In the latter scenario, if there are multiple qualifying polls on the same calendar date as the oldest poll used, those will also be included.