2024 New Hampshire Democratic Primary

Date: April 27, 2024
Delegates: 34 (25 pledged, 9 automatic)
Allocation:
  • Pledged delegates are earned on the statewide vote as well as the vote in individual congressional districts.
  • In each case, allocation is proportional to candidates receiving 15% or more support.
  • Automatic delegates are unpledged.
Notes:
  • By agreement with the DNC, a party-run primary was held April 27 to allocate delegates. As such, the delegate penalty discussed below was rescinded.
  • Original January 23 primary date set by Secretary of State to maintain 'first in the nation' primary status was required by state law.
  • However, it violated 2024 Democratic calendar rules. The penalty was a loss of delegates.
  • The state primary for offices other than president is September 10.

Information is estimated and subject to change. Delegate allocation rules can be very complex; this overview may not capture some details. For those interested in the finer points, we suggest Greenpapers or FHQ.

Estimated Delegates Earned


Biden
25

Polls

Source Date Sample Biden Phillips Williamson Other
Poll Averages† 62.2% 14.2% 5.0% -
Emerson College 1/21/2024 467 LV ±4.5% 61% 16% 5% 18%
American Research Group 1/21/2024 600 LV ±4% 54% 32% 3% 11%
CNN / Univ. of New Hampshire 1/21/2024 775 LV ±3.5% 63% 10% 9% 18%
American Research Group 1/16/2024 600 LV ±4% 58% 28% 3% 11%
American Research Group 1/11/2024 600 LV ±4% 58% 26% 4% 12%
Emerson College 1/11/2024 590 RV ±4% 49% 16% 5% 30%
Suffolk University 1/09/2024 318 LV ±5.5% 64% 6% 2% 28%
Granite State Poll 1/09/2024 643 LV ±3.9% 69% 7% 6% 18%
American Research Group 1/04/2024 600 LV ±4% 58% 21% 5% 16%
co/efficient 12/21/2023 1,016 LV ±3.1% 38% 7% 7% 48%
Show:

†The average includes all polls within seven days of the date of the most recent poll, limited to one poll from any source. If there are fewer than five, the window is expanded to 30 days or five polls, whichever comes first. In the latter scenario, if there are multiple qualifying polls on the same calendar date as the oldest poll used, those will also be included.