2016 Michigan Republican Primary

The Michigan Republican Primary is March 8, 2016
Delegates 59
Allocation: Threshold
Threshold: 15% (minimum vote to receive any delegates)
Notes: Winner Take All where a candidate exceeds 50%
Information is estimated and subject to change. Delegate allocation rules can be very complex; this overview may not capture some details. For those interested in the finer points, we suggest GreenPapers or FHQ.
Estimated Delegates Earned

Trump
25

Cruz
17

Kasich
17

Rubio
0
Delegate Counts: New York Times
Candidates in red have withdrawn from the race
Polls
  New!   Instantly compare a poll to prior one by same pollster
Source Date Sample Trump Cruz Kasich Other
Poll Averages* 39.8% 22.2% 18.4%
 
3/07/2016 402 LV ±4.9% 36% 23% 21% 20%
3/07/2016 1610 LV ±2.4% 41% 23% 23% 13%
 
3/06/2016 482 LV ±4.5% 41% 22% 13% 24%
 
3/06/2016 638 LV ±5.9% 39% 24% 15% 22%
3/06/2016 663 LV ±3.8% 42% 19% 20% 19%
3/05/2016 400 LV ±5% 31% 15% 33% 21%
 
3/04/2016 1643 LV ±2.4% 42% 20% 18% 20%
 
3/03/2016 643 LV ±3.9% 42% 19% 14% 25%
 
3/02/2016 400 LV ±4.9% 29% 19% 8% 44%
 
3/02/2016 679 LV ±4.8% 39% 14% 12% 35%
MRG
3/01/2016 217 LV 33% 18% 10% 39%
 
2/20/2016 400 LV ±5% 35% 12% 17% 36%
 
2/18/2016 600 LV ±4% 25% 15% 11% 49%
 
2/08/2016 330 LV ±5.4% 41% 16% - 43%
 
2/05/2016 400 LV ±5% 35% 21% 6% 38%
 
MRG
9/16/2015 N/A 22% 3% 2% 73%
 
8/11/2015 432 LV ±5% 20% 8% 8% 64%
 
6/30/2015 465 LV ±4.5% 14% 5% 3% 78%
Show: 10 All

* The average includes the most recent poll from each source within the past 30 days, up to a maximum of five. If five polls are found, and there are other qualifying polls on that same calendar date, those will also be included.



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