Polymarket 2024 Presidential Election Markets
Current as of Map Timestamp
This is an electoral map based on the Polymarket prediction market odds for the 2024 presidential election. It will be updated every four hours.
Unless there is an exact tie, the toss-up color is not used in this map. The colored gradients are used to show higher probabilities for Biden or Trump, deepening as the market likelihood of winning increases: Tilt (<60%), Leans (60%+), Likely (80%+), Safe (90%+).
Use this map as a starting point to create and share your own 2024 presidential election forecast.
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Map :
Ken Griffin Wants to See Trump’s VP Pick
Democrats’ Ugliest Primary Comes to an End
Why It’s So Hard to Poll RFK Jr.’s Support
House Republicans Zero In on Wedge Issues
Nevada Poses a Challenge and a Mystery for Biden
Headlines
Live Results: Maryland, Nebraska, West Virginia Primaries; North Carolina Runoffs
Senate Democratic Primary in Maryland is the marquee race, although there are several competitive House races of interest
Overview and Live Results: Indiana Primary
Four competitive GOP primaries in deep red U.S. House seats will likely provide the most election day suspense
Live Results: Texas State Senate Special, Lubbock Mayor
The lone Senate vacancy will be filled, while voters in the nation's 85th largest city will choose a mayor
Live Results: New York Congressional District 26 Special Election
There is also a legislative special election runoff in Alabama
Live Results: Puerto Rico Democratic Primary
The territory is expected to add 55 delegates to Joe Biden's total, which now exceeds 3,300
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