2024 President: Consensus Electoral Map
As of May 18, 2024
This map will track the consensus forecast for the 2024 presidential election. It is a composite of ratings by several forecasters. Only seats rated safe by all are shown as 'safe' for the incumbent party.
As a result of Census apportionment, some states have a different number of electoral votes in 2024. Use the buttons above the map to see what has changed.
The map is interactive; use it as a starting point to create and share your own 2024 presidential election forecast.
May 18: ME-02 moves from Leans to Likely Republican; NE-01 Likely to Safe Republican.
For those interested, we have a separate map that only considers polling. In using that map, keep in mind that polls are a snapshot in time, reflecting public opinion when they are conducted. As such, they may be of limited predictive value until the election gets much closer.
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Map :
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Headlines
Overview and Live Results: California Congressional District 20 Special Election
The winner will complete the term of former Speaker Kevin McCarthy, who resigned at the end of last year.
Live Results: Maryland, Nebraska, West Virginia Primaries; North Carolina Runoffs
Senate Democratic Primary in Maryland is the marquee race, although there are several competitive House races of interest
Overview and Live Results: Indiana Primary
Four competitive GOP primaries in deep red U.S. House seats will likely provide the most election day suspense
Live Results: Texas State Senate Special, Lubbock Mayor
The lone Senate vacancy will be filled, while voters in the nation's 85th largest city will choose a mayor
Live Results: New York Congressional District 26 Special Election
There is also a legislative special election runoff in Alabama
Customize your map by changing one or more states. Return here to share it. Share or Embed your Map: Select 'Share Map' button above. Share or Embed your Map: