2024 House Election Forecasts

These maps reflect the ratings of a number of quantitative and qualitative forecasters, as well as some consensus projections. Click or tap any of the thumbnails for an interactive version that you can use to create and share your own 2024 House forecast.

2024 House Election: Consensus Forecast

A consensus outlook for the 2024 House Elections based on the current ratings of these forecasters. Use this map as a starting point to create and share your won 2024 House forecast. You can also view this forecast as a table.

This map is a composite of ratings by several forecasters

May 7: TX-28 moves from Likely to Leans Democratic.

 

 

 

Crystal Ball 2024 House Ratings

The current 2024 House ratings from Sabato's Crystal Ball. Use this as a starting point to create and share your own 2024 House forecast. 

You can also view these ratings in a table.

May 7: TX-28 moves from Likely to Leans Democratic. Read the analysis >

Cook Political Report 2024 House Ratings

The current 2024 House ratings from Cook Political Report. Use this as a starting point to create and share your own 2024 House forecast. 

May 7: TX-28 moves from Likely to Leans Democratic.

Elections Daily 2024 House Ratings

The current 2024 House ratings from Elections Daily, a site that provides nonpartisan election coverage.

Note that North Carolina has no ratings as additional redistricting - not yet completed - is likely to change boundaries for the 2024 election.

March 22: CA-03 moves from Leans to Likely R; CA-09, CA-49 Likely to Leans D; CA-13, CA-27 Toss-up to Leans R; CA-21 Safe to Likely D, CA-47 Likely D to Toss-up. Read the analysis >

 

Inside Elections 2024 House Ratings

The current 2024 House ratings from Inside Elections. Use this as a starting point to create and share your own 2024 House forecast.  You can also view these ratings as a table.

May 9: TX-28 moves from Safe to Likely Democratic.