Two Polls Show Single Digit Lead for Republican in Montana Special Election

By 270toWin Staff

May 9, 2017

Two recent polls of Montana's upcoming U.S. House special election show a single digit lead for the Republican. The seat became vacant after Ryan Zinke resigned March 1 to become Secretary of the Interior.  

The most recent poll, from Gravis Marketing, gives Republican Greg Gianforte an 8 point lead over his Democratic challenger Rob Quist. A late April poll from Democratic pollster Garin-Hart-Yang showed a similar 6 point Gianforte lead. 

This is a statewide race, as Montana has a single congressional district. The seat has been in Republican hands since 1997. Zinke won re-election by 16% last November, while Trump did even better, outpacing Hillary Clinton by 20%. 

The two major party candidates will be joined on the ballot by Libertarian Mark Wicks. Absentee ballots went out on May 1st. The election will take place on Thursday, May 25th.

comments powered by Disqus

Headlines

Introducing the 2022 House Simulator

Who will control the House after the midterm elections? Use this tool to simulate the outcome and see trends over time.

Uncontested: The 36 House Districts With Only One Major Party on the Ballot

17 incumbents are unopposed, while 13 others face a 3rd party opponent. Six elections are between two Democrats

Overview and Live Results: Delaware, New Hampshire, and Rhode Island Primaries

The outcome of several GOP primaries in New Hampshire may impact how competitive those races are in November

Three New Members of U.S. House to be Seated Tuesday

The three - two from New York and one from Alaska - recently won special elections

Overview and Live Results: Massachusetts Primary

Voters will choose nominees for governor to replacing the retiring Republican Gov. Charlie Baker