270toWin Redesign

North Carolina Poll Results

March 4, 2015

Public Policy has surveyed North Carolina again, one month after their last 2016 poll of that state. 

Republican Primary: Scott Walker has surged ahead of the pack, picking up 24% of the vote. Jeb Bush, Mike Huckabee and Ben Carson all registered in the teens, performing very close to the last month. Walker seems to have picked up a lot of the voters who had leaned toward Mitt Romney in the prior poll.  

 

Democratic Primary: Not much change from last month, or from most Democratic primary polls so far this cycle. Hillary Clinton has over 50%, easily besting her closest challengers, Elizabeth Warren and Joe Biden.

The above two tables are from our soon-to-launch 2016 primary and caucus pages.

General Election:  Nine Clinton vs. Republican match-ups were tested here. The bottom line is that the state looks to be a toss-up. All differences were 4% or less. Carson did the best, with a 1% lead on Clinton. As a result of this poll, we've moved North Carolina in our Rubio and Cruz polling-based electoral maps to toss-up.

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