2022 Senate Elections: Consensus Forecast

As of April 1, 2022

A consensus outlook for the 2022 Senate elections based on the current ratings of forecasters at Sabato's Crystal Ball, The Cook Political Report, and Inside Elections. For purposes of this map, only states rated safe by all three of these projections are shown in the darkest shade.

Use this map as a starting point to create and share your own 2022 Senate forecast.

April 1: Wisconsin moves from Leans Republican to Toss-up

Democrats
Republicans
no 2022 election
no 2022 election
CT
MD
 
VP
S

Map :

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Safe Likely Leans Tilt Toss-up
         
       

As of Apr. 1, 2022 Details >>

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Senate Elections 2022
Current 50 50
Consensus Forecast 11 19 5
Interactive Map Above

Upcoming Elections

Current 2022 2024 2026^
48 14 21 13
2 2
50 21 10 19

^ Excludes Oklahoma seat with a special election in 2022

The arrows on the counter above the map designate the controlling party. 50-50 tie decided by Vice-President (VP)

State Incumbent Party Since Term Consensus
AK Dan Sullivan
2015 2nd
AL Tommy Tuberville
2021 1st
AR Tom Cotton
2015 2nd
AZ Mark Kelly
2020 1st
AZ Kyrsten Sinema
2019 1st
CA Dianne Feinstein
1992 6th
CO Michael Bennet
2009 3rd
CO John Hickenlooper
2021 1st
CT Chris Murphy
2013 2nd
DE Tom Carper
2001 4th
DE Chris Coons
2011 3rd
FL Marco Rubio
2011 2nd
FL Rick Scott
2019 1st
GA Raphael Warnock
2021 1st
GA Jon Ossoff
2021 1st
HI Mazie Hirono
2013 2nd
IA Joni Ernst
2015 2nd
ID Jim Risch
2009 3rd
IL Dick Durbin
1997 5th
IN Mike Braun
2019 1st
KS Roger Marshall
2021 1st
KY Mitch McConnell
1985 7th
LA Bill Cassidy
2015 2nd
MA Elizabeth Warren
2013 2nd
MA Ed Markey
2013 3rd
MD Ben Cardin
2007 3rd
ME Angus King
2013 2nd
ME Susan Collins
1997 5th
MI Debbie Stabenow
2001 4th
MI Gary Peters
2015 2nd
MN Amy Klobuchar
2007 3rd
MN Tina Smith
2018 2nd
MO Roy Blunt
2011 2nd
Incumbent not running for re-election in 2022.
MO Josh Hawley
2019 1st
MS Roger Wicker
2007 3rd
MS Cindy Hyde-Smith
2018 2nd
MT Jon Tester
2007 3rd
MT Steve Daines
2015 2nd
NC Richard Burr
2005 3rd
Incumbent not running for re-election in 2022.
NC Thom Tillis
2015 2nd
ND Kevin Cramer
2019 1st
NE Deb Fischer
2013 2nd
NE Ben Sasse
2015 2nd
NH Maggie Hassan
2017 1st
NH Jeanne Shaheen
2009 3rd
NJ Bob Menendez
2006 4th
NJ Cory Booker
2013 3rd
NM Martin Heinrich
2013 2nd
NM Ben Ray Lujan
2021 1st
NV Catherine Masto
2017 1st
NV Jacky Rosen
2019 1st
NY Kirsten Gillibrand
2009 3rd
OH Rob Portman
2011 2nd
Incumbent not running for re-election in 2022.
OH Sherrod Brown
2007 3rd
OR Jeff Merkley
2009 3rd
PA Patrick Toomey
2011 2nd
Incumbent not running for re-election in 2022.
PA Bob Casey
2007 3rd
RI Sheldon Whitehouse
2007 3rd
RI Jack Reed
1997 5th
SC Lindsey Graham
2003 4th
SD Mike Rounds
2015 2nd
TN Marsha Blackburn
2019 1st
TN Bill Hagerty
2021 1st
TX Ted Cruz
2013 2nd
TX John Cornyn
2003 4th
UT Mitt Romney
2019 1st
VA Tim Kaine
2013 2nd
VA Mark Warner
2009 3rd
VT Bernie Sanders
2007 3rd
WA Patty Murray
1993 5th
WA Maria Cantwell
2001 4th
WI Ron Johnson
2011 2nd
WI Tammy Baldwin
2013 2nd
WV Joe Manchin
2011 3rd
WV Shelley Capito
2015 2nd
WY John Barrasso
2007 3rd
WY Cynthia Lummis
2021 1st
The following races are rated as safe for the incumbent party.
AK Lisa Murkowski
2002 4th
AL Richard Shelby
1987 6th
Incumbent not running for re-election in 2022.
AR John Boozman
2011 2nd
CA Alex Padilla
2021 1st
CT Richard Blumenthal
2011 2nd
HI Brian Schatz
2012 2nd
IA Chuck Grassley
1981 7th
ID Mike Crapo
1999 4th
IL Tammy Duckworth
2017 1st
IN Todd Young
2017 1st
KS Jerry Moran
2011 2nd
KY Rand Paul
2011 2nd
LA John Kennedy
2017 1st
MD Chris Van Hollen
2017 1st
ND John Hoeven
2011 2nd
NY Chuck Schumer
1999 4th
OK James Lankford
2015 2nd
OK Jim Inhofe
1995 6th
Incumbent not running for re-election in 2022.
OR Ron Wyden
1996 5th
SC Tim Scott
2013 2nd
SD John Thune
2005 3rd
UT Mike Lee
2011 2nd
VT Patrick Leahy
1975 8th
Incumbent not running for re-election in 2022.