Election News

California Democratic Rep. Tony Cárdenas Not Seeking Reelection

Rep. Tony Cárdenas (CA-29) will not run for a 7th term in 2024, he told The Los Angeles Times. His retirement opens up a safely blue seat in the San Fernando Valley, northwest of downtown Los Angeles.

Cárdenas won his final term in 2022 by a 17% margin over fellow Democrat Angélica Dueñas. District 29 was one of six U.S. House districts that year where only Democrats advanced from California's top-two primary.

Overview and Live Results: Election Day in Louisiana

Last month, Louisiana held its majority vote primary. Elections that day were decided where one candidate got a majority of the vote. This included the governor's race, where Republican Jeff Landry got 52% support. He will take office in early January.

In those cases where no candidate won outright, the top two finishers meet in Saturday's general election.

Polls close at 9:00 PM Eastern Time.

Live Results: Minnesota State House Special Primary Election

On Thursday there is a special primary in the Minnesota House of Representatives. That chamber is narrowly divided; Democrats hold 69 seats, Republicans 64. There is one vacancy. Members serve two year terms, the next regular elections are in 2024.

Each district is has a number followed by A or B. The A and B districts do not overlap, but taken together, they match the boundary of the State Senate district with the same number.

Minnesota State House District 52B

Michigan Rep. Dan Kildee to Retire, Opening up a Battleground District

Democratic Rep. Dan Kildee (MI-08) announced he will not run for reelection in 2024. 

Kildee was first elected in 2012, serving five terms as representative of Michigan's 5th district. In 2022, after redistricting, he ran in the new 8th district. He won his final term by about 10% over Republican Paul Junge.

District 8 is northwest of the Detroit area, including the cities of Flint and Saginaw.

Despite Kildee's fairly sizeable margin in 2022, this is a highly competitive district. The Wikipedia article for the district points out that "according to the Cook Partisan Voting Index, after 2022 redistricting Michigan's 8th is the median district in the country, with 217 districts rated more Democratic and 217 districts rated more Republican."

Embattled Rep. George Santos Won't Seek Reelection

Rep. George Santos (NY-03) said Thursday that he won't run for reelection in 2024. The move came after the release of a House Ethics Committee report detailing "substantial evidence" that the freshman Republican violated federal law.

Santos blasted the ethics committee in making his announcement.

Santos is already under a 23-count federal indictment for a variety of alleged criminal offenses. He recently survived an expulsion attempt in the House. Another motion to remove him may be introduced later this week, with a vote after the Thanksgiving recess.

New York District 3

The district is primarily in northern Nassau County on Long Island. Santos was elected by a 54% to 46% margin after incumbent Democrat Tom Suozzi retired in an unsuccessful bid for governor. Suozzi announced last month he was running to reclaim the seat next year.

New Hampshire Primary Date Reveal: January 23

Secretary of State David Scanlan announced January 23 as the date of the 2024 New Hampshire primary. That date maintains the state's 'first in the nation' primary status, and meets a statutory requirement that the contest be held at least a week before any other primary.  

The setting of this year's date has been controversial, as Democrats unilaterally rearranged the traditional order of early states, pushing South Carolina to the front of the line on March 3. That state was where Joe Biden started his march to the nomination in 2020. 

As New Hampshire's date is noncompliant with the Democratic calendar, it is believed that it will face punishment from the party in the form of a reduction in delegates to the national convention. 21 Democrats registered by the October 27 filing deadline. Notably, this excluded Biden, although an aggressive write-in campaign for the president is expected.

House Updates: Spanberger Running for Governor; Higgins Resigning; Amo to be Sworn In

Note: Shortly after we published this article, Republican Michael Burgess (TX-26) released a statement announcing he will retire at the end of this term. This brings to 26 the number of current U.S. House members not running for reelection next year.


Updates on three U.S. House districts: 

Virginia District 7

Democratic Rep. Abigail Spanberger announced that she will run for governor of Virginia in 2025. She is the first candidate to formally join the race to succeed Republican Gov. Glenn Youngkin, who is term-limited. Virginia is the only state that does not allow governors to serve consecutive terms.

Sen. Tim Scott Suspends Presidential Campaign

South Carolina Sen. Tim Scott is ending his campaign for the 2024 Republican presidential nomination. He made the announcement during an interview with Trey Gowdy on the Fox News Show 'Sunday Night in America'.

Reps. Kilmer and Wenstrup Not Running in 2024; Rep. Higgins Reported to be Resigning

Overshadowed by Sen. Joe Manchin's retirement announcement, two U.S. House members also said Thursday they would not seek reelection next year. Reports also emerged about a pending resignation.

23 current House members, including 15 Democrats and eight Republicans, have now announced they are retiring or seeking another office. The list does not include Dean Phillips (MN-03), who is challenging Joe Biden for the Democratic presidential nomination. If his campaign doesn't work out, he will likely have time to file for another term, should he wish to do so.

Derek Kilmer - Washington District 6

Sen. Joe Manchin Not Running for Reelection; West Virginia Seat Likely to Flip to GOP

Sen. Joe Manchin of West Virginia announced Thursday that he will not run for reelection. A Democratic Senator in one of the country's reddest states, the seat is highly likely to flip to the GOP next year. Given an already difficult map, this will further complicate Democratic efforts to hold the majority after 2024.

Shortly after Manchin's announcement, the Cook Political Report shifted its rating from Toss-up to Solid Republican.

Manchin, who won his seat in a 2010 special election, was reelected in 2012 and 2018. However, his margin of victory decreased from 24% to just 3% as the state continued to shift to the right. After Wyoming, the state gave Donald Trump his largest winning margin - roughly 40% - in both 2016 and 2020. 

A difficult reelection battle was looming if Manchin had run. The state's governor, Jim Justice, is currently the frontrunner for the GOP nomination and was leading Manchin in early polling.