Poll Shows 2016 Race Tightening in Key Swing States
By 270toWin Staff
March 31, 2015
A March 31 Quinnipiac University Swing State Poll shows Hillary Clinton's lead shrinking (even disappearing in a couple cases) in 2016 match-ups against prospective Republican nominees. Polls were conducted in the critical swing states of Florida, Ohio and Pennsylvania.
A few highlights
- Jeb Bush leads Clinton by 45% to 42% in Florida. While within the margin of error, this is one of the stronger Republican showings vs. Clinton seen in 2016 competitive state polling thus far
- Rand Paul leads Clinton by 45% to 44% in Pennsylvania
- Scott Walker's recent strong performance in Republican primary polling is not yet carrying over to the general electorate. Walker trails Clinton by 5% to 11% across the three states
- Clinton is polling strongest overall in Ohio, leading by an average of 8.6% (vs. 4% to 5% in the other two states). A Republican has never won the presidency without carrying Ohio.
We've made a few updates to our polling-based HRC vs. GOP electoral maps.
Headlines
Kansas Republican Rep. Jake LaTurner Not Seeking Reelection
His retirement announcement cites a desire to spend more time with his family
Live Results: Alabama Congressional Primary Runoff, Michigan State House Special Elections
The 2nd Congressional District, open due to redistricting, represents a Democratic pick-up opportunity in the fall
Live Results: Alaska and Wyoming Democratic Presidential Contests
Party run events in these two states will add to President Biden's Delegate Advantage
Uncontested: 2024 U.S. House Races with Single Major Party Participation
These are elections where only one of the two major parties is on the general election ballot
Live Results: Georgia State House Special Election
Three Republicans are looking to replace long-time State Rep. Richard Smith, who died in January
