PredictWise Presidential Forecast
This isn’t a popularity contest™
Updated three times a day, this is an electoral map derived from the PredictWise state-level probabilities. PredictWise uses the wisdom of the crowd, via real-money prediction markets, to determine the likelihood of events. In this case, it is the likelihood of a state going to Clinton or Trump.
The toss-up tan color is used when no candidate has a 60% or higher chance of winning. The colored gradients are used to show higher probabilities for Clinton or Trump, deepening as the chance of winning increases: Light (60%+), Medium (80%+), Dark (90%+).
Use this map as a starting point to create and share your own 2016 presidential election forecast.
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Map :
Jesse Ventura Says He Could Beat Biden and Trump
RFK Jr. Makes Michigan Ballot
GOP Candidate Drops Out After Forgery Allegations
Trump’s Donor Base Is Shrinking
The Biden Campaign Is Non-Stop Offense
Headlines
Kansas Republican Rep. Jake LaTurner Not Seeking Reelection
His retirement announcement cites a desire to spend more time with his family
Live Results: Alabama Congressional Primary Runoff, Michigan State House Special Elections
The 2nd Congressional District, open due to redistricting, represents a Democratic pick-up opportunity in the fall
Live Results: Alaska and Wyoming Democratic Presidential Contests
Party run events in these two states will add to President Biden's Delegate Advantage
Uncontested: 2024 U.S. House Races with Single Major Party Participation
These are elections where only one of the two major parties is on the general election ballot
Live Results: Georgia State House Special Election
Three Republicans are looking to replace long-time State Rep. Richard Smith, who died in January
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