On the same day we moved Colorado to leaning Obama, a couple polls caught our eye.  In Pennsylvania, Mason-Dixon shows an Obama lead of just 4 points.  Likewise, Obama has a 4 point lead in Virginia according to Marist.  These polls are significantly different than other recent polls in those states (especially the PA poll), [...]

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Today, we moved Virginia into the Obama category.     We’ve been dragging our feet a little on this move, but with yet another poll (Rasmussen) out today showing a 10 point Obama lead, we really can’t hold back any longer.
Why have we waited?  A combination of reasons.  This move puts Obama above 270 on the map.  [...]

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Based on recent polls, and the increased likelihood of an Obama vs. McCain race, we’ve moved North Carolina from Republican to Swing and Arkansas from Swing to Republican.   The latter decision was fairly easy — the only way Arkansas is really in play is if Sen. Clinton is the nominee.  
North Carolina, Virginia and even South [...]

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