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	<title>270toWin &#187; Pennsylvania</title>
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	<description>This isn't a Popularity Contest</description>
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		<title>Pennsylvania Approaching Swing Status</title>
		<link>http://www.270towin.com/blog/new-for-2008/pennsylvania-approaching-swing-status</link>
		<comments>http://www.270towin.com/blog/new-for-2008/pennsylvania-approaching-swing-status#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 01 Nov 2008 20:59:07 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>admin</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[2008 Polls]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[New for 2008]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Pennsylvania]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.270towin.com/blog/new-for-2008/pennsylvania-approaching-swing-status</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The polls are definitely closing in Pennsylvania, with the last four polls coming in at a 4 to 6% lead for Obama.    Not really seeing this narrowing trend in many other states.  Sen. McCain has pushed hard in PA, and this may be making a difference. Just for the sake of argument, let&#8217;s say [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The polls are definitely closing in Pennsylvania, with <a href="http://www.270towin.com/states/pennsylvania" target="_blank"><strong>the last four polls</strong></a> coming in at a 4 to 6% lead for Obama.    Not really seeing this narrowing trend in many other states.  Sen. McCain has pushed hard in PA, and this may be making a difference.</p>
<p>Just for the sake of argument, let&#8217;s say McCain pulls out PA (although we&#8217;d still say the odds are against this), with all the other &#8216;decided&#8217; states playing out as currently polling.   This would leave Obama with 265 and McCain with 178.   There are <a href="http://www.270towin.com/combinations_live.php?party=Republican&amp;num_rem=92&amp;st_remain=FL,OH,NC,IN,MO,NV,MT,ND&amp;me=&amp;ne=" target="_blank"><strong>two combinations</strong></a> that would get McCain over the top &#8212; he would have to win 7 of the 8 swing states.</p>
<p>By the way, for those that haven&#8217;t seen it, anytime your <a href="http://www.270towin.com/" target="_blank">interactive map</a> has 12 or fewer states undecided with neither candidate at 270, you will see a feature called &#8220;The Road to 270&#8243; below the map.  This will summarize what each candidate needs to win and it will provide a link to a page (like the &#8216;two combinations&#8217; link earlier in this post) where you can see every critical path to 270 electoral votes.</p>
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		<slash:comments>20</slash:comments>
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		<title>Interesting Polls Today:  Race Tightening or Outliers?</title>
		<link>http://www.270towin.com/blog/2008-polls/interesting-polls-today-race-tightening-or-outliers</link>
		<comments>http://www.270towin.com/blog/2008-polls/interesting-polls-today-race-tightening-or-outliers#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 30 Oct 2008 22:40:45 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>admin</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[2008 Polls]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Pennsylvania]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Virginia]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.270towin.com/blog/2008-polls/interesting-polls-today-race-tightening-or-outliers</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[On the same day we moved Colorado to leaning Obama, a couple polls caught our eye.  In Pennsylvania, Mason-Dixon shows an Obama lead of just 4 points.  Likewise, Obama has a 4 point lead in Virginia according to Marist.  These polls are significantly different than other recent polls in those states (especially the PA poll), [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>On the same day we moved Colorado to leaning Obama, a couple polls caught our eye.  In <a href="http://www.270towin.com/states/pennsylvania" target="_blank">Pennsylvania</a>, Mason-Dixon shows an Obama lead of just 4 points.  Likewise, Obama has a 4 point lead in <a href="http://www.270towin.com/states/virginia" target="_blank">Virginia</a> according to Marist.  These polls are significantly different than other recent polls in those states (especially the PA poll), so hard to say if they are outliers or the start of a trend toward a tighter race in some states.</p>
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		<slash:comments>18</slash:comments>
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