The polls are definitely closing in Pennsylvania, with the last four polls coming in at a 4 to 6% lead for Obama.    Not really seeing this narrowing trend in many other states.  Sen. McCain has pushed hard in PA, and this may be making a difference.
Just for the sake of argument, let’s say McCain [...]

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On the same day we moved Colorado to leaning Obama, a couple polls caught our eye.  In Pennsylvania, Mason-Dixon shows an Obama lead of just 4 points.  Likewise, Obama has a 4 point lead in Virginia according to Marist.  These polls are significantly different than other recent polls in those states (especially the PA poll), [...]

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