Today, we moved Virginia into the Obama category.     We’ve been dragging our feet a little on this move, but with yet another poll (Rasmussen) out today showing a 10 point Obama lead, we really can’t hold back any longer.
Why have we waited?  A combination of reasons.  This move puts Obama above 270 on the map.  [...]

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Polls that have been conducted since Obama became the presumptive nominee show a good-sized bump for the candidate.   This has occurred across-the-board — red states have become a bit less red and some important swing states have gone blue.   As a result of 3 new Quinnipiac polls today, Obama has a lead outside the [...]

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Please read this post before using the information that follows.
For those who missed our 11/26 post…. Our “Probability of 270″ beta feature (below the interactive map) contains some early general election polls of Giuliani vs. Clinton, along with 2004 actual results where polling wasn’t available. Usually, these were states with wide margins in [...]

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