Comments on: Virginia as Pivotal Swing State?

By: jeff

jeff — Thu, 25 Sep 2008 07:23:53 +0000

no opinion to it?purely fact? does (available in print) prove something? if we read it in print that makes it a fact that it is THE solution. you made absolutely nothing but a statement of opinion.

By: coachbarbee

coachbarbee — Thu, 18 Sep 2008 15:07:05 +0000

I just hope that this scenario and no other “apocalyptic” ones come true. This is, as much as 2000 and ’04, a turning point election. We can choose to keep going down the path we have–which basically is one of complete narcissism as a country, giving all to the wealthy and taking from the poor, believing in a future that is unlikely for most citizens (but that the GOP keeps promising), or we can get back to sanity. We can get correct oversight of our financial markets, we can learn to save and we can help our poorest gain a foothold. Of course, there’s also the innate racism that too many people still harbor and that I believe has led us to this point–where one vacuous candidate has no ideas or ideals any longer, just a desperation to occupy the White House before he dies, and one candidate has real, thoughtful solutions (available in print) and a partner who is able to help carry them out, but the race is still a statistical dead heat or tilting to the wrong person. Either americans (little “a” intended) aren’t paying attention, they are completely stupid or insane, or they have to have some kind of racist bias to Obama. Sorry, it’s purely fact. There’s no opinion to it. Obama does have a message, he does have a plan, and it’s available to be read. McCain has COPIED his campaign after what works for Obama while simultaneously trying to attack him with outright lies…..how can we not see through this?

By: William

William — Mon, 08 Sep 2008 18:03:30 +0000

Virginia is a bell weather state this time around, but after re-examining this map, I’m not so sure it will be King Maker. This scenario is somewhat dependent upon Pennsylvania going red, which isn’t impossible, but now unlikely I think.

By: quincyconscience

quincyconscience — Sun, 24 Aug 2008 06:17:08 +0000

I would like to comment that by posting your rant, they are clearly not biased. Sheesh the explanation explains this is not a projection site. Calm down, it will balance out. Also I live in Virginia and for all the explanations I have given (students, African Americans, Hispanics, increased urbanization, one democratic senator, probable a second democratic senator after the election, democratic statehouse, democratic senate, democratic govenor the past 8 years, get out the vote efforts by Obama, cellphone polling issue) it is probably a 50:50 state. btw the term is progressive, feminazi, or pc police not neo-liberal. nobody uses neo-liberal as there is little neo about it as opposed to the radical differences between neo-conservatives and say, Goldwater conservatives.

By: Justin Fishbein

Justin Fishbein — Wed, 20 Aug 2008 09:17:15 +0000

I think 270towin.com is secretly run by a bunch of neo-liberal left-wing nuts. If you all actually think your simulation is a true reflection of the country then you guys are crazy. I must have run the simulator 100 times and Obama wins each one. You guys are biased. I live right next door to the commonwealth of Virginia and I can say There is No Way they vote for Obama. Do you guys even factor in the mainstream polling or do you let the DNC give you all your numbers. Rasmussen has Virginia tied, Missouri McCain up 6, Colorado McCain up 2, Florida McCain up 6, North Carolina McCain up 7, Pennsylvania Obama by 5, Michigan Obama by 4, Minnesota Obama by 2. YOUR NUMBERS ARE SKEWED DEMOCRATIC. Obama should lose at least 50% of the time. 270towin.com is BIASED.

270toWin: If you visit the individual state pages on the site, you’ll see most or all of the polls you reference. Where there are multiple polls over the course of a couple weeks, we use an average of the last poll from each source. Because state polls are fewer at this point (e.g., one or two per month for most states), they do lag the national polls which show an essentially tied race. As the polls become more frequent (after the conventions), this lag should dissipate and the simulator should become more timely.

By: William

William — Mon, 18 Aug 2008 19:03:35 +0000

Jack, irregardless of Kaine’s poll numbers, I still think he could help Obama win in Virginia. Democrats have registered more new voters here, including heavily African-American precincts in Southside and Tidewater. Plus, suburbanites from Northern Va. aren’t expected to come out in droves for McCain this time. Add Kaine to the ticket, and some Virginians might feel nostaligic about being “Mother of Presidents” again. All this could tip the scales in favor of Obama in a tight contest.

By: Jack

Jack — Thu, 14 Aug 2008 20:23:49 +0000

William, I must disagree with the statement that Kaine will give Obama Virginia. While Kaine is not terribly unpopular, his approval rating is not extremely high, either. Kaine would perhaps have a negligible positive effect on Obama’s chances in Virginia.

By: quincyconscience

quincyconscience — Mon, 11 Aug 2008 09:33:26 +0000

This is gonna seem like overkill on Ell but that doesn’t mean anything. In 10 contests it would be odd if a winner didn’t carry at least 4 of the same states every time just by regional and demographic factors. Ohio’s streak is impressive and somewhat more relevant in itself, but adding those 3 states doesn’t mean anything. 10 contests is simply not significant.

By: Ell

Ell — Sat, 09 Aug 2008 00:26:57 +0000

In the last 44 years, every president has won KY,OH, TN, and MO.

By: Alex

Alex — Thu, 07 Aug 2008 09:06:42 +0000

I think we are going to see great changes in the electoral map for this election. I would not at all be surprised to find an island red state surrounded by a sea of blue states and vice versca.

I find myself in agreement with William in terms of Virginia going for Obama. I do not see how the Republicans can win without that state.

I am definitely adding Virginia to my list of indicator victory states. If it should go blue, then more than likely Obama will win.

I am still unsure of how to rate New Hampshire. I do not see Obama winning all of the New England states, but I do not know how this will affect his chances.