We preface this by saying that we have no better idea how this will turn out than anyone reading this post.  In addition, this is not an endorsement of either candidate.   Everyone who is registered should get out and vote.  (BTW, you can get a free ice cream cone and a free Starbucks coffee for [...]

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Just playing around with the map today and speculating how it could turn out if the voters ultimately decide to go in a different direction this year.    These six ‘red’ states, while obviously not decisive to the race if it were to play out this way, could end up being the closest in popular [...]

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We’ve moved New Hampshire from toss-up to Obama today, as several recent polls show him with a 10+ point lead.   As of today, we show Obama with 264 EV and McCain with 163 EV.  This is based on states that are >5 point spread based on a composite of recent polls.
As of today (and we [...]

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Early polling is showing that the race in Virginia, a state that hasn’t voted Democratic since 1964, may be very close this year.  We were just playing around with a scenario where that state could be decisive.
In this scenario, Obama maintains his lead and wins the block of states in the economically struggling upper Midwest, [...]

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