We’ve made some modifications to the default ‘Swing States’ view on the interactive map based on recent polling. As before, this remains a bit tricky as the polling is surprisingly different in a number of states depending on who the Democratic candidate is. Visit our polling maps, which you can get […]

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**As always, we caution that state-by-state polls at this early date are of limited predictive value**
A good number of new polls have been released this week by SurveyUSA and Rasmussen; visit the McCain vs. Obama and McCain vs. Clinton maps to review.   The overall trend has been toward McCain, with both potential match-ups very close.   […]

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We’ve added a map that is based on current polling for a prospective McCain v. Obama race. We’re working on one for McCain v. Clinton and hope to have that live this week.

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The results in New Hampshire this past Tuesday (1/8) and Rudy Guiliani’s strategy of not aggressively campaigning in these early states have made it impossible to determine who the likely nominees for either party will be. As a result, head-to-head polling is all over the place, depending on who the candidates are.
Until the […]

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**Update on 1/13/08   We’ve temporarily reverted this feature to display based on 2004 actual results.   Given the results in IA and NH, there are clearly no front runners yet in either party, and the polling is all over the place depending on which two candidates are compared.    Once it is more clear who the […]

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**Update on 2/25/08: With the number of candidates that have a realistic chance of being a nominee of the two major parties down to 3, we’re seeing more head-to-head polls come out. We’ve created a map that displays those polls for McCain vs. Obama and these numbers power our “Probability of […]

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