2012 Presidential Election Polls

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2012 Electoral Votes by State

December 21, 2010

Modified February 21, 2012 to insert map and update link to gerrymandered districts.

Electoral Vote Changes in 2012

The 2010 Census results are out, showing the U.S. resident population grew to 308.7 million people as of April 1, 2010, vs. 281.4 million in 2000.    Use the preceding link to see the Census Bureau’s press release, and links to all the facts and figures regarding demographics and other trends.

What we care about here, of course, is the impact of these results on the electoral vote map and thus the 2012 presidential election.  The Census population counts in each state leads to a reapportionment of the number of Representatives per state.   Since the number of electoral votes for each state equals the number of Representatives + 2 (for the number of Senators), the electoral vote count changes as well.   The new electoral vote distribution will be in effect for the 2012 election.

Our interactive 2012 electoral map now includes the new distribution.   Just choose the 2012 option in the “Electoral View” at the bottom left of the map.   Overall, if the 2008 election were held using the 2012 apportionment, Obama would have received 6 fewer electoral votes… 359 instead of 365.

This is because the 2010 Census shows that the U.S. population continues a decades-long trend toward the south and the west.  Although Obama won some of these growth states in 2008, on balance they voted Republican for a net shift of 6 electoral votes.

The big winner is Texas, adding 4 electoral votes.   Florida gained 2 while New York and Ohio each lost 2.   Gaining one electoral vote each are Arizona, Georgia, Nevada, South Carolina, Utah and Washington.   Losing one electoral vote each are Illinois, Iowa, Louisiana, Massachusetts, Michigan, Missouri, New Jersey and Pennsylvania.

Looking beyond the Electoral Vote distribution, reapportionment leads to redistricting, the redrawing of Congressional district boundaries.  This is controlled by state governments.     While redistricting will take place in most states, it is a particularly important topic in states gaining or losing seats.  In states losing seats, you may see two incumbents squaring off against each other in a 2012 primary or general election.   Redistricting will occur in time for the 2012 election, and the newly apportioned House will be seated in Janaury, 2013.

In an ideal world, congressional districts would be drawn objectively, by computer, dividing up a state’s population evenly, by location.  However, redistricting in many states leads to gerrymandering, which is basically the creation of districts based on other demographic criteria, and is mostly done to protect incumbents.   Many of these will change for 2012, but check out this slideshow of the 20 most gerrymandered districts created after the 2000 Census.

  • Frigate

    Can I tell you about what the Congress really is without getting a lot of backlash, if so I will post the latest I have received.

    • http://WWW.FACEBOOK.COM SHANQUIL

      How can they post dis shit.

  • Frigate

    *Congressional Reform Act of 2012*

    Warren Buffet is asking
    each addressee to forward
    this email to a minimum of
    twenty people on their
    address list; in turn ask
    each of those to do likewise.

    In three days, most people
    in The United
    States of America will
    have the message.
    This is one idea that
    really should be
    passed around.

    *Congressional Reform Act of 2012*

    1. No Tenure / No Pension.
    A Congressman/woman
    collects a salary while in office
    and receives no pay when
    they’re out of office.

    2. Congress (past, present & future)
    participates in Social Security. All funds in the
    Congressional retirement fund move to the
    Social Security system immediately.
    All future funds flow into the
    Social Security system, and Congress
    participates with the American people. It
    may not be used for any other purpose.

    3. Congress can purchase
    their own retirement plan,
    just as all Americans do.

    4. Congress will no longer
    vote themselves a pay raise.
    Congressional pay will
    rise by the lower of CPI or 3%.

    5. Congress loses their
    current health care system and
    participates in the same health
    care system as the American people.

    6. Congress must equally abide by all laws
    they impose on the American people.

    7. All contracts with past and present Congressmen/women are void
    effective 12/31/12. The American
    people did not make this contract with
    Congressmen/women.
    Congressmen/women made all
    these contracts for themselves. Serving in
    Congress is an honor, not a career.
    The Founding Fathers envisioned
    citizen legislators, so ours should
    serve their term(s), then go home and
    back to work.

    If each person contacts a minimum
    of twenty people then it will
    only take three days for
    most people (in the U.S. )
    to receive the message.

    Don’t you think it’s time?

    THIS IS HOW YOU FIX CONGRESS!

  • Anonymous

    hey you guy obama will win the election because he is a great leader and we should give he a second chance people can make mistacks and they learn from them and obama is the person we should vote for he is a great leader we love you obama you are amazing learder for american and us amiericas mitt romney will cute all aids and have more

    • Anonymous

      You are right people can make mistakes and they should learn from them. Now you need to practice what you preach. Learn from you mistake of voting for Obama in 2008 and vote for Romney in 2012

      • Advocate for Obama

        Anonymous: What do you have to say now? 303 to 206 – it doesn’t take a rocket scientist to figure that one out… I guess your vote did not mean S&^$!!!!

        GO OBAMA 4 MORE YEARS!!! HA! HA! HA!

    • Blondie

      Are you kidding? You forgive a friend for a mistake, you do not forgive or overlook 4 years of bankrupting this Country with your inexperience and contempt for this Country. What MORON hands BILLIONS, yes BILLIONS to the corrupt banking/lending system and really expects them to help the mess they created as opposed to minimizing their bottom line losses. I am cracking up at your statement right now. Get this clown out of office and save this American Country,.

      • KB

        The Bush administration bailed out the banks. Please get your facts straight!

      • Advocate for Obama

        KB – you are as stupid as Anonymous – you go and look up your facts!!

    • Anonymous

      It’s interesting that the guy preaching about “how great Obama is” can’t spell or use proper grammar. We Americans (or as the Obama supporter stated, “us amiericas” ) will be forced to watch our country drown in debt and throw money into failed welfare/aid programs. The hard working middle class is forced to carry the burden of others who choose to sit at home and collect welfare. I am a social worker and it’s incredibly frustrating to see people take advantage of the welfare system. The majority of people I meet grew up in the welfare system and expect “free money.” The saying, “work hard for the money” is no longer valid…..it’s a sad day.

      • Advocate for Obama

        Hey Anonymous – it was the Bush administration who put a lot of those welfare people in the predicament that they are in…..if it is such a problem for you it’s probably because you are a redneck working in a low income area that is mostly blacks….I wonder would you be saying the samething if you were working in a trailer park full of poor white trash!!!

      • http://WWW.FACEBOOK.COM SHANQUIL

        Well to me it not because obama aint about shit anymore.I bet he never been to my city ever in his life ever i live where a place call Greenville,Ms someplace he will never take the chance to go children down here need help kid aint even in they right grade.

    • Anonymous

      Can you even name ONE thing that makes him a great leader, ONE thing that his arguments are superior in, and ONE reason why I should listen to someone who doesn’t bother to spell correctly? Don’t get me wrong, I support Obama not Romney, but I will definitely not be anticipating Obamacare.

  • another anonymous

    Really? Let’s start with grammar 101…

    • http://WWW.FACEBOOK.COM SHANQUIL

      Dont give a fuck about obama….

  • Anonymous

    Blondie do not be a passionate idiot. You forgot that Mitt Is hiding a fortune outside the United States, to avoid to pay taxes. This is president that you deserve, but not all American .

  • Nosor

    Mitt Romney can be a good president for the 1 percent of the Nation. If Bush was bad, this can even be worst.

  • http://270towin.com Teresa

    i dont think that thats the real one :(

  • Quita

    First off Obama all the way! Secondly if you look back four years ago at all the problems that were left behind from bush for him to pick up and fix maybe you’d stop running your potholes and see what he does this second go round. Team Obama!!!

  • http://hotmail DENISE

    INTERESTING COMMENTS FROM YOU ALL; HOWEVER, REGARDLESS OF THE OUTCOME DURING AND AT THE END OF THIS NEXT TERM, BE IT GOOD OR BAD, MANY MANY MANY WILL DECIDE THAT OBAMA SHOULD NOT GET ANY POSITIVE CREDIT – ONLY NEGATIVE CREDIT. ‘NUFF SAID. AND AS FOR YOU BLONDIE, DID YOU CONSIDER BUSH TO BE A MORON WHEN HE SENT THE AMERICAN PUBLIC DOWN THIS DEVASTATING FINANCIAL PATH, NOT CONSIDERING THAT HIS MORONIC DECISIONS WOULD RUN THEIR COURSE – THUS SPILLING OVER INTO OBAMA’S TERM. JUST AS NO SPORTS TEAM IS TOTALLY CARRIED BY ONE PLAYER, THE PRESIDENT IS A KEY PLAYER ON THE POLITICAL WHITE HOUSE TEAM BUT CANNOT DO “IT” WITHOUT HIS PLAYERS: CONGRESS. THE ROAD TO RECOVERY SHOULD LIKEWISE BE GIVEN THE OPPORTUNITY TO RUN ITS COURSE OF TURNING AROUND THIS COUNTRY. AGAIN, ‘NUFF SAID.

    • http://WWW.FACEBOOK.COM SHANQUIL

      If he will help more than it wont b lyke dis

  • Anoymous 1975

    I tell you what this country needs is a reboot . (yes sort of like when you shut down your computer) It needs to be rebuilt on the values and morals that America was founded on ! I for one feel as if we have not had a viable canidate for many many years now , and that the road we are heading down will be one of devistation and heartache ! I think we need to turn our country over to a WOMAN !! Men have had their chances and look where we are !! Let’s turn it around with some MOTHERLY LOVE !!

    • 1976 Ridg

      I love what you said. I totally agree our Country needs a complete reboot and overhaul. Maybe in the form of a New Civil War. As people breaking free from England we fought harder and stronger. Now days The American people barely even see glimpes of what once was. America has become weak to feeling sorry for people as oppesed to fighting for the reason for this Country in the first place. There are no longer morals and values as a Country just acceptance. It would seem this country is a free for all. Would seem the vision is now lost. Where has that fighting strong will gone.

      • 3/7 Cav Soldier

        Civil War??? Hahahaha. I fought 2 terms in Iraq. Why would you say something so STUPID. Go to bed you little boy. Any MAN with a family and loved ones would not EVER want a civil war in their own country. What an IDIOT you are.

    • Advocate for Obama

      Talking about spelling….what is caniate?

  • svhrfox

    Romney lost (thank God) in my opinion because A. He was the worlds biggest flip flopper on just about every issue or B. He was the worlds worst person at explaining his position on any issue thereby causing people to get the impression he was flip flopping !! In either case, thats not the kind of person I want representing our country and interacting with other world leaders on our behalf. You know, you can’t take a car thats been in a wreck and get it to looking like new again without SPENDING MONEY!! And you can’t take an ocean liner steaming across the Atlantic at 30 knots and throw the wheel all the way to the left and expect it to turn immediately. It will probably be a good half hour or more before the ship gets turned completely around and headed back the way it came. It takes money and time to fix all the problems Bush left behind…magic wands don’t work.

  • Anonymous

    America is done with, If we keep making idiotic choices there will be no 2nd amendment. That’s what Obama is trying to take away from us, Right to bare arms.

    • KB

      Really, you like to wear sleeveless shirts so much that you think it is covered by the 2nd!?!

  • http://deeznuts bobyjoefuckedyou

    FUCK ALL YOU DUMB ASS CUNTS ALSO EAT MY DICK and I’m 12 :D

  • http://deeznuts bobyjoefuckedyou

    HOW THE FUCK I MAKE THAT SMILEY :)

  • http://deeznuts bobyjoefuckedyou

    HOW am I fucking doing that?!?!?!?

  • http://deeznuts bobyjoefuckedyou

    EATMYNUTS EATMYNUTS EATMYNUTS YOU DUMB ASS CUNTS XD RYMES

  • Art

    There is a way unto man that seems right, but in the end is folly, so seek a better understanding.

  • An American

    Well if what your saying is true then bush senior was a great president and clinton didnt do shit. It was simply bush seniors acts running there course. Bush wasnt a good president but obama is hands down worse. Our foreign relations is shot because of obama. Our credit is shot cause of obama. Now the real problem is not with the president but with the people. The people of america dont stand behind the flg anymore. Its a give me society. We the people need to stand together as americans to fix our country. We need to give back and invest in our country for it to succeed. With almost half our country not giving back we are going to fail and it will be on us and only us for it failing.

  • http://WWW.FACEBOOK.COM SHANQUIL

    obama a bitch…..4 sure

  • http://tnij.org/xvqv Cash Advance Loan

    attractive just click the following internet page

  • sausage lover

    Not good

  • meatloaf

    lol

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