On the same day we moved Colorado to leaning Obama, a couple polls caught our eye.  In Pennsylvania, Mason-Dixon shows an Obama lead of just 4 points.  Likewise, Obama has a 4 point lead in Virginia according to Marist.  These polls are significantly different than other recent polls in those states (especially the PA poll), [...]

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There’s been very limited polling from these two states, but what we have seen lately leads us to believe that they should be considered toss-ups.   If Obama were to win these historically very red states, he would (most likely) win every state in the continental U.S. bordering Canada, except for Idaho, which shares 45 miles [...]

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270toWin.com was mentioned in this skit on ‘The Daily Show’ with Jon Stewart last night, with the 270 interactive map on display in the background.  The focus of the skit was along the lines of “let’s get this election over with already”, and contains some colorful/bleeped language.

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Just playing around with the map today and speculating how it could turn out if the voters ultimately decide to go in a different direction this year.    These six ‘red’ states, while obviously not decisive to the race if it were to play out this way, could end up being the closest in popular [...]

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Today, we moved Virginia into the Obama category.     We’ve been dragging our feet a little on this move, but with yet another poll (Rasmussen) out today showing a 10 point Obama lead, we really can’t hold back any longer.
Why have we waited?  A combination of reasons.  This move puts Obama above 270 on the map.  [...]

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We’ve moved New Hampshire from toss-up to Obama today, as several recent polls show him with a 10+ point lead.   As of today, we show Obama with 264 EV and McCain with 163 EV.  This is based on states that are >5 point spread based on a composite of recent polls.
As of today (and we [...]

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