Some new polls today.   Most surprising is Indiana, where Obama is slightly ahead in a Selzer poll, although within MOE so not wholly inconsistent with most other polls that show a statistical tie there.  We continue to show Indiana as a tossup on the polling map.    New Mexico appears to be moving back toward the “Leaning Obama” category, as two polls this week now have him up 7/8 points.  We’ll await confirmation from one more poll before making the change on the map.  South Carolina and Georgia have moved into the “Strong McCain” category.    Florida continues to be hard to figure..again today we have one poll tied, one showing McCain up by 6.

State Obama McCain Sample Source Date
VT 0.6 0.36 500 Rasmussen 9/18/2008
FL 0.45 0.51 707 SurveyUSA 9/18/2008
FL 0.46 0.46 600 American Research 9/18/2008
NM 0.52 0.44 671 SurveyUSA 9/17/2008
GA 0.41 0.57 684 SurveyUSA 9/17/2008
IN 0.47 0.44 600 Selzer 9/18/2008
NH 0.45 0.48 600 American Research 9/18/2008
SC 0.37 0.59 600 American Research 9/18/2008
NE 0.34 0.6 600 American Research 9/18/2008