We’ve split the electoral vote on our polling map into more categories, to reflect the full list of colors on the map: swing, lean, likely and safe. We’ve also added a date stamp so you’ll know when the last updates were made.
Today, American Research Group came out with a huge number of state polls, including some for rarely polled states. Here’s a summary, along with a couple others we located this evening. Apologies for the formatting….
State Obama McCain Sample Pollster
AL 0.36 0.58 600 American Research Group
AK 0.39 0.55 600 American Research Group
AZ 0.39 0.56 600 American Research Group
CO 0.44 0.46 600 American Research Group
DE 0.51 0.40 600 American Research Group
DC 0.82 0.13 600 American Research Group
HI 0.63 0.32 600 American Research Group
ID 0.25 0.68 600 American Research Group
IL 0.51 0.45 600 American Research Group
KS 0.31 0.63 600 American Research Group
KY 0.37 0.57 600 American Research Group
LA 0.43 0.50 600 American Research Group
ME 0.51 0.41 600 American Research Group
MS 0.39 0.55 600 American Research Group
MO 0.45 0.50 600 American Research Group
MT 0.47 0.49 600 American Research Group
NV 0.46 0.49 600 American Research Group
NM 0.51 0.44 600 American Research Group
NY 0.55 0.38 600 American Research Group
NC 0.41 0.52 600 American Research Group
OH 0.44 0.50 600 American Research Group
RI 0.59 0.33 600 American Research Group
TX 0.36 0.57 600 American Research Group
UT 0.29 0.65 600 American Research Group
WV 0.45 0.49 600 American Research Group
WY 0.28 0.66 600 American Research Group
CA 0.52 0.36 830 Field
OR 0.51 0.47 700 Rasmussen
WI 0.48 0.46 700 Rasmussen
IN 0.45 0.51 890 CNN/Time
WI 0.50 0.47 950 CNN/Time
FL 0.48 0.48 907 CNN/Time
NC 0.47 0.48 910 CNN/Time
OH 0.49 0.47 913 CNN/Time
10 responses so far ↓
1 Zach // Sep 18, 2008 at 1:10 am
CNN came out with more polls than that today they also came out with one for florida and north carolina and virginia
270toWin: Thanks. Those didn’t get posted last night for some reason, but updating this AM. North Carolina seems to be among the most difficult to get a read on at this point…. one could argue it is a statistical tie or that McCain is well ahead… just based on polls out this week.
2 mark // Sep 18, 2008 at 8:49 am
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/nc/north_carolina_mccain_vs_obama-334.html cnn is notorius for its democrat leaning polls……..this clearly shows mccain winning north carolina as of today……..it could change………..but its very unlikely……
3 William // Sep 18, 2008 at 11:18 am
This is a red letter day. I’m in agreement with Mark on something. The NC polls are all over the place, but as best as I can tell, as the convention bounces wear off and things stabilize, NC might go to McCain by 2.5-4%.
4 Jeff // Sep 18, 2008 at 12:34 pm
Bias aside, those CNN polls do seem a little suspicious. What do you guys think?
Anyway thanks for posting them! Seems like overall they are good for McCain, he is closer than I thought in Oregon and Wisconsin.Those two will be interesting to watch going forward. Although American Research Group was WAY off multiple times during the primary season. Not to say they are inaccurate, just that I wouldn’t necessarily believe all of it.
5 mark // Sep 18, 2008 at 1:15 pm
by a large margin…………americans believe that the media are in the tank for obama……and its really a shame………..the founding fathers gave the press special constitutional protections to protect against just this very thing……………hell…….nbc is now making its profits by stacking its cable channel with liberal hosts……….and before I get the old tired {what about fox} I want people to take notice that fox news seperates its opinion talk shows from the news reporting}.and that their viewers are.39% republican 33% democrats………and the rest indep….ask yourself a question.when was the last time nbc or msnbc said a single negative thing about obama?
6 William // Sep 20, 2008 at 9:35 pm
Keith Olberman is the anti O’Reilly, but his show is entertaining and better researched. I don’t think you can label the rest of the network as left of center. Chris Matthews is hard on lil bush, but how can anyone not be??? He’s a total failure. MSNBC has Joe Scarborough and Pat Buchanan to balance things out.
7 mark // Sep 21, 2008 at 9:16 am
better researched?………..just because olbermann can lie with a straight face doesnt qualify as research…….and if its so researched.why not have on a differing opinion?…………….it is just another liberal echo-chamber………nothing more……
8 Awsomeness // Oct 27, 2008 at 9:55 am
I am in agreement w/ mark on this topic
9 Who Cares // Oct 29, 2008 at 3:47 pm
Well, we know who the real kool-aid kids are… don’t we.
10 Eric // Nov 3, 2008 at 9:27 am
north american map…
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