Polls that have been conducted since Obama became the presumptive nominee show a good-sized bump for the candidate. This has occurred across-the-board — red states have become a bit less red and some important swing states have gone blue. As a result of 3 new Quinnipiac polls today, Obama has a lead outside the margin of error in states representing 269 electoral votes, his highest total to date.
We don’t know if Obama will end up with far more or far fewer electoral votes, but it is likely that the road between now and November will show lots of peaks and valleys for both candidates. Obama’s number will likely grow some more as more in the next week to ten days as post-nomination polls are taken in other states. After that, polling may begin to show some reversion as the bump wears off.
2 responses so far ↓
1 The Dude // Jun 20, 2008 at 1:47 pm
Yes its still early, but Ive been on this site for hours and hours playing with the map. I’m just gonna say it, McCain’s not gonna win. There are so many more ways that Obama wins than McCain. I mean I can give McCain Florida, Michigan, NH, and a hand full of others and he still looses. McCain carrying FL, and MI is a long shot too in my opinion.
Yes it is early but I smell a blowout coming, and I believe Obama does too, at least that’s what context clues tell me.
2 Jack // Jun 27, 2008 at 3:09 pm
Here’s one of many new polls: http://www.nj.com/news/index.ssf/2008/06/poll_obama_leads_mccain_in_nj.html
Obama is leading McCain 49-33 in New Jersey. Time to take that off of the 2008 Swing States display, especially as New Jersey has been pretty blue lately.
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