Senate Election Race Ratings & Polls

Battle for Control of the Senate

Race Ratings: Track the competitiveness of each of the 34 Senate elections this November, based on the assessment of three professional pundits. Any rating changes within the last 30 days are noted, enabling you to see how a race is trending.

The Battle for Control section summarizes all these races by level of competitiveness, highlighting the number of competitive seats held by each party.

To create your own 2016 forecast, visit our Senate Election Interactive Map.

Polling: State names colored in green have available polling. Click/tap to view details. Alternately, go see all the most recent Senate polls.





		

Battle for Control

Current Senate 46 54
2016 Elections -10 -24
Continuing Seats 36 30
Not Competitivea 8 10
2017 Minimum 44 40
Not Very Competitiveb 1 4
Likely Minimum 45 44
Competitive/At-Riskc 1 10
aAll pundits: Safe for incumbent party
bAll pundits: Safe or likely for incumbent party
cCurrent Senate less Likely Minimum. All pundits rate as lean or toss-up
Alabama
Sabato Roth. & Gonz. Cook
Safe Safe Solid
Alaska
Sabato Roth. & Gonz. Cook
Safe Safe Likely
Arizona
Sabato Roth. & Gonz. Cook
Likely Favored Lean
Arkansas
Sabato Roth. & Gonz. Cook
Safe Safe Solid
California
Sabato Roth. & Gonz. Cook
Safe Safe Solid
Colorado
Sabato Roth. & Gonz. Cook
Safe Safe Likely
Connecticut
Sabato Roth. & Gonz. Cook
Safe Safe Solid
Florida
Sabato Roth. & Gonz. Cook
Lean Lean Lean
Georgia
Sabato Roth. & Gonz. Cook
Safe Safe Likely
Hawaii
Sabato Roth. & Gonz. Cook
Safe Safe Solid
Idaho
Sabato Roth. & Gonz. Cook
Safe Safe Solid
Illinois
Sabato Roth. & Gonz. Cook
Likely Lean Lean
Indiana
Sabato Roth. & Gonz. Cook
Lean Toss-Up Toss-Up
Iowa
Sabato Roth. & Gonz. Cook
Safe Safe Likely
Kansas
Sabato Roth. & Gonz. Cook
Safe Safe Solid
Kentucky
Sabato Roth. & Gonz. Cook
Safe Safe Solid
Louisiana
Sabato Roth. & Gonz. Cook
Likely Safe Solid
Maryland
Sabato Roth. & Gonz. Cook
Safe Safe Solid
Missouri
Sabato Roth. & Gonz. Cook
Lean Toss-Up Toss-Up
Nevada
Sabato Roth. & Gonz. Cook
Lean Toss-Up Toss-Up
New Hampshire
Sabato Roth. & Gonz. Cook
Lean Toss-Up Toss-Up
New York
Sabato Roth. & Gonz. Cook
Safe Safe Solid
North Carolina
Sabato Roth. & Gonz. Cook
Lean Toss-Up Toss-Up
North Dakota
Sabato Roth. & Gonz. Cook
Safe Safe Solid
Ohio
Sabato Roth. & Gonz. Cook
Safe Favored Lean
Oklahoma
Sabato Roth. & Gonz. Cook
Safe Safe Solid
Oregon
Sabato Roth. & Gonz. Cook
Safe Safe Solid
Pennsylvania
Sabato Roth. & Gonz. Cook
Lean Toss-Up Toss-Up
South Carolina
Sabato Roth. & Gonz. Cook
Safe Safe Solid
South Dakota
Sabato Roth. & Gonz. Cook
Safe Safe Solid
Utah
Sabato Roth. & Gonz. Cook
Safe Safe Solid
Vermont
Sabato Roth. & Gonz. Cook
Safe Safe Solid
Washington
Sabato Roth. & Gonz. Cook
Safe Safe Solid
Wisconsin
Sabato Roth. & Gonz. Cook
Lean Tilt D Toss-Up
For more detail on the pro Senate forecasts, visit Sabato’s Crystal Ball, The Cook Political Report and The Rothenberg & Gonzales Political Report.

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