2016 New Hampshire Republican Primary

Date:	February 9, 2016
Delegates:	23
Allocation:	Proportional
Threshold:	10% (minimum vote to win delegates)

Information is estimated and subject to change. Delegate allocation rules can be very complex; this overview may not capture some details. For those interested in the finer points, we suggest Greenpapers or FHQ.

Estimated Delegates Earned

Trump
12

Kasich
4

Cruz
3

Bush
3

Rubio
1

Delegate Counts: New York Times

Polls

Source		Date	Sample	Trump	Kasich	Cruz	Other
Poll Averages†				31.8%	12.8%	12.0%	-
	American Research Group	2/09/2016	418 LV ±5%	33%	17%	10%	40%
	UMass Lowell	2/08/2016	464 LV ±5.1%	34%	10%	13%	43%
	American Research Group	2/08/2016	427 LV ±5%	30%	16%	10%	44%
	Monmouth University	2/08/2016	508 LV ±4.4%	30%	14%	12%	44%
	CNN \| WMUR	2/08/2016	362 LV ±5.2%	31%	10%	14%	45%
	Emerson College	2/08/2016	686 LV ±3.7%	31%	13%	11%	45%
	CNN \| WMUR	2/07/2016	362 LV ±5.2%	33%	11%	14%	42%
	UMass Lowell	2/07/2016	516 LV ±4.8%	36%	9%	13%	42%
	American Research Group	2/07/2016	422 LV ±5%	31%	17%	9%	43%
	UMass Lowell	2/06/2016	501 LV ±4.9%	35%	10%	13%	42%
	American Research Group	2/06/2016	415 LV ±5%	34%	17%	9%	40%
	Franklin Pierce U / Boston Herald	2/06/2016	433 LV ±4.7%	31%	11%	16%	42%
	NBC News / WSJ / Marist	2/05/2016	653 LV ±3.8%	30%	10%	15%	45%
	UMass Lowell	2/05/2016	500 LV ±4.8%	34%	8%	14%	44%
	WBUR	2/05/2016	410 LV ±4.9%	29%	9%	12%	50%
	Suffolk University	2/05/2016	500 LV ±4.4%	29%	13%	7%	51%
	American Research Group	2/05/2016	40 LV ±5%	36%	14%	10%	40%
	CNN \| WMUR	2/05/2016	287 LV ±5.8%	28%	13%	13%	46%
	UMass Lowell	2/04/2016	487 LV ±4.9%	36%	7%	14%	43%
	American Research Group	2/04/2016	418 LV ±5%	34%	13%	12%	41%
	CNN \| WMUR	2/04/2016	571 LV	29%	12%	13%	46%
	UMass Lowell	2/03/2016	502 LV ±4.8%	38%	7%	14%	41%
	Harper Polling	2/03/2016	425 LV ±4.8%	31%	12%	9%	48%
	UMass Lowell	2/02/2016	470 LV ±5%	38%	9%	14%	39%
	UMass Lowell	2/01/2016	461 LV ±5.1%	38%	9%	12%	41%
	American Research Group	2/01/2016	600 LV ±4%	34%	16%	10%	40%
	CNN \| WMUR	1/31/2016	409 LV ±4.8%	30%	9%	12%	49%
	Franklin Pierce U / Boston Herald	1/30/2016	439 LV ±4.7%	38%	8%	13%	41%
	NBC News / WSJ / Marist	1/28/2016	612 LV ±4%	31%	11%	12%	46%
	Suffolk University	1/28/2016	500 LV ±4.4%	27%	12%	12%	49%
	Emerson College	1/27/2016	373 LV ±5%	35%	14%	8%	43%
	American Research Group	1/26/2016	600 LV ±4%	31%	17%	12%	40%
	Franklin Pierce U / Boston Herald	1/25/2016	444 LV ±4.7%	33%	12%	14%	41%
	YouGov / CBS	1/24/2016	476 LV ±6.8%	34%	10%	16%	40%
	Fox News	1/24/2016	401 LV ±5%	31%	9%	14%	46%
	Gravis Marketing	1/21/2016	689 LV ±3.7%	35%	15%	10%	40%
	CNN \| WMUR	1/20/2016	414 LV ±4.8%	34%	6%	14%	46%
	American Research Group	1/19/2016	600 LV ±4%	27%	20%	9%	44%
	Monmouth University	1/11/2016	414 LV ±4.8%	32%	14%	14%	40%
	American Research Group	1/11/2016	600 LV ±4%	25%	14%	9%	52%
	NBC News/ Marist	1/10/2016	569 LV ±4.1%	30%	9%	10%	51%
	Fox News	1/08/2016	414 LV ±4.5%	33%	7%	12%	48%
	NH1	1/08/2016	1,000 RV ±3.1%	32%	12%	10%	46%
	Public Policy	1/06/2016	515 LV ±4.3%	29%	11%	10%	50%
	American Research Group	12/23/2015	600 LV ±4%	21%	13%	10%	56%
	AIF	12/22/2015	500 LV ±4.4%	24%	-	16%	60%
	YouGov / CBS	12/20/2015	519 LV ±6.9%	32%	8%	14%	46%
	Franklin Pierce U / Boston Herald	12/17/2015	430 LV ±4.7%	26%	8%	12%	54%
	WBUR	12/11/2015	402 LV	27%	7%	10%	56%
	CNN \| WMUR	12/08/2015	402 LV ±4.9%	32%	7%	6%	55%
	Public Policy	12/03/2015	454 LV ±4%	27%	8%	13%	52%
	YouGov / CBS	11/22/2015	624 LV ±6.3%	32%	8%	10%	50%
	Suffolk University	11/22/2015	500 V ±4.9%	22%	9%	9%	60%
	WBUR	11/18/2015	405 LV ±4.9%	23%	7%	8%	62%
	Fox News	11/18/2015	353 RV	27%	7%	11%	55%
	Gravis Marketing	11/14/2015	330 RV ±5.4%	29%	5%	12%	54%
	WBUR	11/04/2015	400 LV ±4.9%	22%	9%	5%	64%
	Monmouth University	11/02/2015	410 LV ±4.8%	26%	11%	9%	54%
	YouGov / CBS	10/25/2015	496 LV	38%	5%	5%	52%
	Bloomberg / St. Anselm	10/21/2015	40 LV ±4.9%	24%	7%	4%	65%
	Franklin Pierce U / Boston Herald	10/21/2015	440 LV ±4.7%	28%	6%	5%	61%
	Public Policy	10/20/2015	417 LV ±4.8%	28%	10%	8%	54%
	Gravis Marketing	10/08/2015	662 RV ±3.8%	32%	10%	5%	53%
	NBC News / WSJ / Marist	10/04/2015	450 LV ±4.6%	21%	6%	6%	67%
	CNN \| WMUR	9/24/2015	344 LV ±5.3%	26%	7%	5%	62%
	WBUR	9/16/2015	404 LV ±4.9%	22%	9%	5%	64%
	Monmouth University	9/14/2015	415 LV ±4.8%	28%	11%	8%	53%
	YouGov / CBS	9/13/2015	610 LV ±6.3%	40%	9%	5%	46%
	NBC News/ Marist	9/06/2015	413 RV ±4.8%	28%	12%	5%	55%
	Public Policy	8/25/2015	436 LV ±4.7%	35%	11%	4%	50%
	Franklin Pierce U / Boston Herald	8/11/2015	414 LV ±4.8%	18%	12%	10%	60%
	Gravis Marketing	8/05/2015	599 LV ±4%	32%	15%	3%	50%
	Granite State Poll	8/03/2015	309 LV ±5.6%	24%	6%	5%	65%
	Monmouth University	7/28/2015	467 LV ±4.5%	24%	7%	3%	66%
	NBC News/ Marist	7/26/2015	401 RV ±4.9%	21%	7%	5%	67%
	CNN \| WMUR	6/25/2015	402 LV ±4.9%	11%	1%	3%	85%
	Suffolk University	6/23/2015	500 LV ±4.4%	11%	2%	4%	83%
	Morning Consult	6/14/2015	349 LV ±5%	8%	-	4%	88%
	Gravis Marketing	6/09/2015	487 LV ±4%	12%	-	4%	84%
	Bloomberg / St. Anselm	5/08/2015	400 LV ±4.9%	8%	1%	6%	85%
	Granite State Poll	5/06/2015	293 LV ±5.7%	5%	1%	6%	88%
	Gravis Marketing	4/27/2015	666 A ±4%	-	-	10%	90%
	Public Policy	4/15/2015	358 RV ±5.2%	-	-	14%	86%
	NH1	4/10/2015	104 LV ±3%	8%	-	9%	83%
	Gravis Marketing	3/21/2015	683 RV ±4%	-	-	6%	94%
	NBC News/ Marist	2/15/2015	381 RV ±5%	-	-	6%	94%
	Bloomberg / St. Anselm	2/08/2015	400 LV ±4.9%	3%	2%	3%	92%
	Granite State Poll	2/05/2015	348 LV ±5.3%	2%	1%	4%	93%
	NH1	2/03/2015	1,012 RV ±3%	-	-	3%	97%
	NH1	1/21/2015	827 RV ±3.4%	-	-	4%	96%

Show:

†The average includes the most recent poll from each source within the past 30 days, up to a maximum of five. If five polls are found, and there are other qualifying polls on that same calendar date, those will also be included.

2016 New Hampshire Republican Primary

Estimated Delegates Earned

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