Minnesota 2024 Presidential Election Polls
Biden vs. Trump
| Source | Date | Sample | Biden | Trump | Other | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Average of 2 Polls† | 44.5% | 41.5% | - | |||
| Mason-Dixon | 6/10/2024 | 800 LV ±3.5% | 45% | 41% | 14% | |
| SurveyUSA | 5/14/2024 | 625 LV ±4.3% | 44% | 42% | 14% | |
| SurveyUSA | 4/09/2024 | 608 LV ±4.9% | 44% | 42% | 14% | |
| SurveyUSA | 3/07/2024 | 1,603 LV ±3% | 42% | 38% | 20% | |
| SurveyUSA | 1/31/2024 | 1,594 RV ±2.8% | 42% | 39% | 19% | |
| MinnPost | 11/29/2023 | 1,519 LV ±2.6% | 45% | 42% | 13% | |
| Emerson College | 10/16/2023 | 477 RV ±4.4% | 40% | 38% | 22% | |
| CWS Research | 4/25/2023 | 677 LV ±3.8% | 42% | 45% | 13% | |
Including Third Parties and Independents
A separate average calculation for the subset of polls that have a question that names one or more notable candidates in addition to Biden and Trump. The inclusion of these names can significantly influence the polling average.
| Source | Date | Sample | Biden | Stein | Kennedy | West | Oliver | Trump | Other | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason-Dixon | 6/10/2024 | 800 LV ±3.5% | 45% | - | 6% | - | - | 41% | 8% | |
†The average includes all polls within seven days of the date of the most recent poll, limited to one poll from any source. If there are fewer than five, the window is expanded to 30 days or five polls, whichever comes first. In the latter scenario, if there are multiple qualifying polls on the same calendar date as the oldest poll used, those will also be included.
When did it last happen?
This feature shows the most recent election where the state voted with or against the presidential winner in each party. Click the year to see the corresponding electoral map and results.Minnesota Winner
Biden
Clinton
Nixon
Hughes
Election Winner
Biden
Trump
Nixon
Wilson
2020
2016
1972
1916
